Fatima vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
44
Total shots
77
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Pinto J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Fatima
19.7%
Draw
27%
Lusitano GC
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 25.3% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 24.5% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatima's form might have worsened.
  • Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitano GC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Fatima - Lusitano GC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.62
    (3.35)
    3.38
    (3.6)
    1.71
    (1.92)
    9.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Fatima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lusitano GC is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lusitano GC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatima - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Lusitano GC - Fatima 3:0
    Latest results of Fatima
    11.05.2025 Amora - Fatima 2:0
    04.05.2025 Fatima - Elvas 3:1
    27.04.2025 Lusitano GC - Fatima 3:0
    13.04.2025 Mortágua - Fatima 2:0
    06.04.2025 Fatima - Arronches Benfica 1:0
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    11.05.2025 Elvas - Lusitano GC 1:4
    04.05.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
    27.04.2025 Lusitano GC - Fatima 3:0
    06.04.2025 Sintrense - Lusitano GC 1:2
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca23125634:27741
    2SC Vianense23116639:271239
    3Brito22114730:21937
    4AD Limianos22107531:25637
    5Celoricense2398632:221035
    6Tirsense23811429:21835
    7Camacha2389629:21833
    8Chaves B2387835:27831
    9Machico23851026:30-429
    10SC Mirandela23921219:26-729
    11Sao Martinho23841117:28-1128
    12Vilaverdense23491015:24-921
    13Ribeira Brava2148918:36-1820
    14Desportivo Moncao23451425:44-1917

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