Lusitano GC vs Vitoria Guimarães B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
14/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
86
Total shots
145
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Yuk J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Lopes M. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (3 - 1)
  • 1, Lopes M. (Pen),
  • 1, Miguel Vaz (Pen),
  • 2, Pinto J. (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, Santos A. (Pen),
  • 3, Saviolo N. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
48.6%
Draw
26.3%
Vitoria Guimarães B
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 23.8% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 22.5% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano GC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Lusitano GC - Vitoria Guimarães B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.75)
    3.55
    (3.8)
    3.73
    (3.68)
    7.1%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estádio Nacional do Jamor.
    • Lusitano GC has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guimarães B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Lusitano GC is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Lusitano GC will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    01.06.2025 Lusitano GC - Elvas 2:1
    24.05.2025 Amora - Lusitano GC 1:2
    17.05.2025 Fatima - Lusitano GC 0:1
    11.05.2025 Elvas - Lusitano GC 1:4
    04.05.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca23125634:27741
    2SC Vianense23116639:271239
    3Brito22114730:21937
    4AD Limianos22107531:25637
    5Celoricense2398632:221035
    6Tirsense23811429:21835
    7Camacha2389629:21833
    8Chaves B2387835:27831
    9Machico23851026:30-429
    10SC Mirandela23921219:26-729
    11Sao Martinho23841117:28-1128
    12Vilaverdense23491015:24-921
    13Ribeira Brava2148918:36-1820
    14Desportivo Moncao23451425:44-1917

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