Lusitano GC vs Vitoria Guimarães B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
14/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
86
Total shots
145
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Yuk J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Lopes M. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (3 - 1)
  • 1, Lopes M. (Pen),
  • 1, Miguel Vaz (Pen),
  • 2, Pinto J. (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, Santos A. (Pen),
  • 3, Saviolo N. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
48.6%
Draw
26.3%
Vitoria Guimarães B
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 23.8% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 22.5% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano GC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Lusitano GC - Vitoria Guimarães B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.75)
    3.55
    (3.8)
    3.73
    (3.68)
    7.1%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estádio Nacional do Jamor.
    • Lusitano GC has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guimarães B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Lusitano GC is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Lusitano GC will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    01.06.2025 Lusitano GC - Elvas 2:1
    24.05.2025 Amora - Lusitano GC 1:2
    17.05.2025 Fatima - Lusitano GC 0:1
    11.05.2025 Elvas - Lusitano GC 1:4
    04.05.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca20115429:20938
    2AD Limianos1996426:20633
    3Celoricense2096532:191333
    4Brito1994624:18631
    5SC Vianense2086629:26330
    6Tirsense20610426:21528
    7Sao Martinho2083917:24-727
    8Camacha2069522:16627
    9SC Mirandela20811117:24-725
    10Chaves B2067728:24425
    11Machico2065922:28-623
    12Ribeira Brava1848617:27-1020
    13Vilaverdense2039814:20-618
    14Desportivo Moncao20351219:35-1614

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation