Oxford United vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Oxford United - Luton Town
Result
3:2
21/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.70
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
128
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1711
Offsides
13
Fouls
1117
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
2124
Touches in the Opposition Box
2625
Passes
80% (306/383)79% (313/394)
Passes in the final third
61% (52/85)62% (87/140)
Crosses
22% (5/23)30% (6/20)
Tackles
63% (12/19)76% (13/17)
Clearances Total
4049
Interceptions
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', Phillips M. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Krauss T. , McGuinness M. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Helik M. , Brannagan C. (A),
  • 24', Nelson Z. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, McGuinness M. , Clark J. (A),
  • 38', Krauss T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', Jones I. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 2, Brown C. , Brannagan C. (A),
  • 60', Krauss T. , Mpanzu P. ,
  • 60', Adebayo E. , Morris C. ,
  • 61', Nelson Z. , Doughty A. ,
  • 61', Jones I. , Brown J. ,
  • 65', Harris M. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 65', Phillips M. , Matos A. ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Leigh G. , Vaulks W. (A),
  • 80', Placheta P. , ter Avest H. ,
  • 81', Clark J. , Woodrow C. ,
  • 83', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dembele S. , Sibley L. ,
  • 90+1', Brannagan C. , Rodrigues R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oxford United
31.6%
Draw
31.1%
Luton Town
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 27.1% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.1% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford United's form might have worsened.
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oxford United - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.29)
    3.05
    (3.49)
    2.55
    (3.01)
    5.2%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Oxford United - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Luton will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 27.4%60.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Luton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Muscle Injury) Dale O. (Muscle Injury) Long S. (Muscle Injury) Moore E. (Groin Injury) Nelson B. (Hip Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Doughty A. (Knock) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Luton Town were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Luton Town - Oxford United 2:2
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One