Oxford United vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	0.70
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Goal Attempts
12	8
Shots on Goal
5	3
Shots off Goal
1	1
Blocked Shots
6	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
Free Kicks
17	11
Offsides
1	3
Fouls
11	17
Yellow Cards
2	3
Throw-ins
21	24
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	25
Passes
80% (306/383)	79% (313/394)
Passes in the final third
61% (52/85)	62% (87/140)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	30% (6/20)
Tackles
63% (12/19)	76% (13/17)
Clearances Total
40	49
Interceptions
5	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Phillips M. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Krauss T. ⚽, McGuinness M. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Helik M. ⚽, Brannagan C. (A),
24', Nelson Z. 🟨,
26', 1 - 2, McGuinness M. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
38', Krauss T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Jones I. 🟨,
59', 2 - 2, Brown C. ⚽, Brannagan C. (A),
60', Krauss T. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
60', Adebayo E. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
61', Nelson Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
61', Jones I. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
65', Harris M. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
65', Phillips M. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Leigh G. ⚽, Vaulks W. (A),
80', Placheta P. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
81', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
83', Brannagan C. 🟨,
90+1', Dembele S. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
90+1', Brannagan C. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oxford United
31.6%

Draw
31.1%

Luton Town
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford United's form might have worsened.

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oxford United - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.29)	3.05 ↓ (3.49)	2.55 ↓ (3.01)	5.2% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Luton Town?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Luton will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 27.4% – 60.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.
Recent matches Oxford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Luton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Muscle Injury) Dale O. (Muscle Injury) Long S. (Muscle Injury) Moore E. (Groin Injury) Nelson B. (Hip Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Doughty A. (Knock) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.5:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Luton Town?

Oxford United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Oxford United?

Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Luton Town were as follows:

01.10.2024 Luton Town - Oxford United 2:2

Latest results of Oxford United

18.01.2025 Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺

14.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United 1:1 ✺

11.01.2025 Exeter City - Oxford United 3:1 ✺

04.01.2025 Preston North End - Oxford United 1:1 ✺

01.01.2025 Millwall - Oxford United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

18.01.2025 Luton Town - Preston North End 0:0 ✺

11.01.2025 Nottingham Forest - Luton Town 2:0 ✺

06.01.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Luton Town 2:1 ✺

01.01.2025 Luton Town - Norwich City 0:1 ✺

29.12.2024 Swansea City - Luton Town 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One