Oxford United vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Oxford United - Luton Town
Result
3:2
21/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.70
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
128
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1711
Offsides
13
Fouls
1117
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
2124
Touches in the Opposition Box
2625
Passes
80% (306/383)79% (313/394)
Passes in the final third
61% (52/85)62% (87/140)
Crosses
22% (5/23)30% (6/20)
Tackles
63% (12/19)76% (13/17)
Clearances Total
4049
Interceptions
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', Phillips M. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Krauss T. , McGuinness M. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Helik M. , Brannagan C. (A),
  • 24', Nelson Z. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, McGuinness M. , Clark J. (A),
  • 38', Krauss T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', Jones I. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 2, Brown C. , Brannagan C. (A),
  • 60', Krauss T. , Mpanzu P. ,
  • 60', Adebayo E. , Morris C. ,
  • 61', Nelson Z. , Doughty A. ,
  • 61', Jones I. , Brown J. ,
  • 65', Harris M. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 65', Phillips M. , Matos A. ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Leigh G. , Vaulks W. (A),
  • 80', Placheta P. , ter Avest H. ,
  • 81', Clark J. , Woodrow C. ,
  • 83', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dembele S. , Sibley L. ,
  • 90+1', Brannagan C. , Rodrigues R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oxford United
31.6%
Draw
31.1%
Luton Town
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 27.1% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.1% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford United's form might have worsened.
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oxford United - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.29)
    3.05
    (3.49)
    2.55
    (3.01)
    5.2%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Oxford United - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Luton will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 27.4%60.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Luton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Muscle Injury) Dale O. (Muscle Injury) Long S. (Muscle Injury) Moore E. (Groin Injury) Nelson B. (Hip Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Doughty A. (Knock) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Luton Town were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Luton Town - Oxford United 2:2
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One