Result
3:2
21/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 26 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/383) | 79% (313/394) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (52/85) | 62% (87/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 30% (6/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 76% (13/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', Phillips M. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Krauss T. ⚽, McGuinness M. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Helik M. ⚽, Brannagan C. (A),
- 24', Nelson Z. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 2, McGuinness M. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
- 38', Krauss T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Jones I. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 2, Brown C. ⚽, Brannagan C. (A),
- 60', Krauss T. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
- 60', Adebayo E. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
- 61', Nelson Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
- 61', Jones I. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
- 65', Harris M. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 65', Phillips M. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Leigh G. ⚽, Vaulks W. (A),
- 80', Placheta P. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
- 81', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
- 83', Brannagan C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Dembele S. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
- 90+1', Brannagan C. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
31.6% | Draw
31.1% | Luton Town
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford United's form might have worsened.Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oxford United - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.29) |
3.05 ↓
(3.49) |
2.55 ↓
(3.01) |
5.2%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Luton will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 27.4% – 60.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.
- Recent matches Oxford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Luton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J.
(Muscle Injury)
Dale O.
(Muscle Injury)
Long S.
(Muscle Injury)
Moore E.
(Groin Injury)
Nelson B.
(Hip Injury)
Woltman M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Calf Injury)
Burke R.
(Hip Injury)
Doughty A.
(Knock)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Luton Town?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Oxford United?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Luton Town were as follows:
01.10.2024
Luton Town
-
Oxford United
2:2
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Luton Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
