Ceilândia vs Luverdense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Ceilândia - Luverdense
Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 11
Ceilândia - Luverdense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
41
Red Cards
10
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Ceilândia
46%
Draw
28.4%
Luverdense
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 26.8% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.8% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Ceilândia - Luverdense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.89)
    3.16
    (3.35)
    3.5
    (3.5)
    11.3%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ceilândia - Luverdense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ceilândia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Ceilândia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Luverdense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ceilândia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ceilândia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceilândia - Luverdense were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Luverdense - Ceilândia 2:2
    Latest results of Ceilândia
    14.06.2025 Aparecidense - Ceilândia 2:0
    07.06.2025 Ceilândia - Porto Velho 3:0
    31.05.2025 Porto Velho - Ceilândia 0:2
    24.05.2025 Ceilândia - Aparecidense 2:3
    17.05.2025 Mixto - Ceilândia 1:1
    Latest results of Luverdense
    14.06.2025 Porto Velho - Luverdense 0:0
    07.06.2025 Luverdense - Aparecidense 3:1
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Luverdense - Porto Velho 1:0
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tuna Luso1273221:81324
    2Manauara ✔ 1265123:91423
    3Independencia1253415:14118
    4Manaus1245318:16217
    5Aguia De Maraba1244417:12516
    6Trem1243521:22-115
    7GAS1242616:20-414
    8Humaita12111011:41-304


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos ✔ 1275022:121026
    2Imperatriz ✔ 1263314:12221
    3Sampaio Correa1254314:8619
    4Iguatu1242613:14-114
    5Parnahyba1234512:17-513
    6Maranhao1227314:12213
    7Tocantinopolis1226410:16-612
    8Maracana1223711:19-89


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Cruz ✔ 1273217:8924
    2Central SC ✔ 1273214:6824
    3America RN1263317:8921
    4Horizonte1242612:15-314
    5Ferroviario1242613:18-514
    6Santa Cruz de Natal1242610:17-714
    7Treze PB124176:15-913
    8Sousa123279:11-211


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA ✔ 1283124:81627
    2Juazeirense1263312:12021
    3Lagarto1262418:15320
    4Sergipe1253415:10518
    5Jequie1243515:15015
    6Uniao Carmolandense1243512:15-315
    7Barcelona122559:17-811
    8SC Penedense120483:16-134


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aparecidense ✔ 1291230:111928
    2Ceilandia ✔ 1273219:12724
    3Luverdense1263312:11121
    4Mixto1255219:13620
    5Capital1235410:10014
    6Goiania1223710:19-99
    7Goianesia1214710:19-97
    8Porto Velho121479:24-157


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa ✔ 1273218:13524
    2Rio Branco ES1262414:9520
    3Marica1254314:10419
    4Pouso Alegre1252513:13017
    5Agua Santa1243516:17-115
    6Nova Iguacu1235411:13-214
    7Porto Vitoria1234510:12-213
    8Boavista122379:18-99


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira ✔ 1283118:61227
    2Goiatuba1253420:16418
    3Cascavel1245313:14-117
    4Uberlandia1244420:15516
    5Cianorte1244417:16116
    6Monte Azul1225510:15-511
    7Operario MS1225511:19-811
    8Itabirito121749:17-810


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC ✔ 1172218:81023
    2EC Sao Jose1264218:10822
    3Joinville1263310:7321
    4Marcilio Dias1144314:13116
    5Guarany de Bage124358:12-415
    6Sao Luiz1240810:18-812
    7Azuriz123366:10-412
    8Brasil de Pelotas123186:12-610

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
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