Ceilândia vs Luverdense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Ceilândia - Luverdense
Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
41
Red Cards
10
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Ceilândia
46%
Draw
28.4%
Luverdense
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 26.8% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.8% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Ceilândia - Luverdense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.89)
    3.16
    (3.35)
    3.5
    (3.5)
    11.3%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ceilândia - Luverdense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ceilândia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Ceilândia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Luverdense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ceilândia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ceilândia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceilândia - Luverdense were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Luverdense - Ceilândia 2:2
    Latest results of Ceilândia
    14.06.2025 Aparecidense - Ceilândia 2:0
    07.06.2025 Ceilândia - Porto Velho 3:0
    31.05.2025 Porto Velho - Ceilândia 0:2
    24.05.2025 Ceilândia - Aparecidense 2:3
    17.05.2025 Mixto - Ceilândia 1:1
    Latest results of Luverdense
    14.06.2025 Porto Velho - Luverdense 0:0
    07.06.2025 Luverdense - Aparecidense 3:1
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Luverdense - Porto Velho 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1