Luxembourg vs Italy, Friendly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/06/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.421.56
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
13
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
47
Passes
85% (346/409)86% (372/435)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.421.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.020.81
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
612
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1428
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1013
Passes
85% (346/409)86% (372/435)
Long passes
44% (22/50)65% (22/34)
Passes in final third
73% (57/78)73% (73/100)
Crosses
20% (3/15)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.392.05
Throw ins
1618
Fouls
1310
Tackles
41% (7/17)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
178
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.810.02
Goals prevented
-0.190.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Esposito F. , Pisilli N. (A),
  • 51', Lipani L. 🟨,
  • 66', Bohnert F. , Kadamani H. ,
  • 67', Mica Pinto , Mahmutovic E. ,
  • 67', Favasuli C. , Fortini N. ,
  • 67', Cherubini L. , Fini S. ,
  • 76', Lipani L. , Dagasso M. ,
  • 76', Comuzzo P. , Mane F. ,
  • 76', Esposito F. , Camarda F. ,
  • 77', Thill V. , Thill S. ,
  • 86', de Sousa T. , Duarte D. ,
  • 86', Sinani D. , Curci A. ,
  • 86', Olesen M. , Goncalves M. ,
  • 90', Bartesaghi D. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 90', Koleosho L. , Inacio S. ,
  • 90+3', Carlson D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Luxembourg
8.3%
Draw
19.4%
Italy
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.1% 17.2% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Luxembourg - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    13.34
    (7.32)
    5.46
    (5.57)
    1.39
    (1.38)
    -2.2%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Luxembourg - Italy?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Luxembourg will win (votes: 23 - 50%). Italy will win (votes: 23 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luxembourg: 35.6%64.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Luxembourg is ranked FIFA: 98. Italy is ranked FIFA: 12.
    • In this match, Italy is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luxembourg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Luxembourg
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    Latest results of Italy
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