Luzern vs Servette – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Luzern - Servette
Result
3:4
18/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Championship Group - Round 37
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.113.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
80% (316/396)80% (317/394)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.113.67
xG on target (xGOT)
3.104.67
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
411
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
3322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
80% (316/396)80% (317/394)
Long passes
52% (32/62)37% (24/65)
Passes in final third
64% (86/134)75% (89/118)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.091.32
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1616
Tackles
60% (6/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4356
Clearances
1312
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
4.673.10
Goals prevented
0.67-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Stevanovic M. (Pen),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Stevanovic M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Beloko N. , Owusu T. ,
  • 46', Winkler L. , Spadanuda K. ,
  • 48', Ouattara T. 🟨,
  • 54', Antunes A. , Varela K. ,
  • 57', Beka I. 🟨,
  • 61', Villiger L. , Grbic A. ,
  • 61', Klidje T. , Karweina S. ,
  • 61', Guillemenot J. , Kutesa D. ,
  • 61', Ouattara T. , Ndoye A. ,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Kutesa D. , Stevanovic M. (A),
  • 74', Rrudhani D. , Kadak J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 3, Kadak J. , Spadanuda K. (A),
  • 80', Mall J. 🟨,
  • 82', Ondoua G. 🟨,
  • 84', Severin Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Knezevic S. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Grbic A. (Pen),
  • 90', 2 - 4, Ndoye A. , Cognat T. (A),
  • 90+2', Stevanovic M. , Srdanovic L. ,
  • 90+8', 3 - 4, Grbic A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Luzern
41.3%
Draw
24.5%
Servette
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 25.4% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 24.6% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.
  • Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Servette might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luzern that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Luzern - Servette Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.65)
    3.83
    (3.65)
    2.74
    (2.35)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Luzern - Servette?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Servette will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luzern (votes: 1 - 50%). Servette (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 0.
    • Luzern is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Servette's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Luzern: Chader S. (Muscle Injury) Lofgren J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Servette: Rouiller S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Servette were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Servette - Luzern 2:1
    31.10.2024 Servette - Luzern 2:2
    21.07.2024 Luzern - Servette 1:2
    17.03.2024 Luzern - Servette 2:2
    29.10.2023 Servette - Luzern 4:2
    Latest results of Luzern
    15.05.2025 Young Boys - Luzern 2:1
    11.05.2025 Luzern - Lausanne-Sport 1:1
    04.05.2025 Luzern - Lugano 0:2
    21.04.2025 Servette - Luzern 2:1
    13.04.2025 Luzern - Young Boys 5:0
    Latest results of Servette
    15.05.2025 Servette - Lugano 4:1
    11.05.2025 Servette - Young Boys 0:0
    04.05.2025 Basel - Servette 5:1
    21.04.2025 Servette - Luzern 2:1
    13.04.2025 Sion - Servette 1:1
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Boys11003:123
    2Lausanne11003:213
    3Luzern11003:213
    4Sion11003:213
    5St. Gallen11002:113
    6Thun11002:113
    7Zurich10012:3-10
    8Grasshoppers10012:3-10
    9Winterthur10012:3-10
    10Lugano10011:2-10
    11Basel10011:2-10
    12Servette10011:3-20

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