Result
1:2
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 28
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (353/447) | 82% (326/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (353/447) | 82% (326/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (101/155) | 80% (96/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Silva Ferreira L. M. 🟨,
- 41', Silva Ferreira L. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Bukinac S. ↓, Bedia C. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Fernandes E. ⚽,
- 60', Von Moos J. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 74', Dantas R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 74', Kabwit O. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
- 74', Abe T. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
- 78', Essende S. ↓, Fassnacht C. ↑,
- 78', Sanches A. ↓, Males D. ↑,
- 78', Gigovic A. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Males D. ⚽,
- 80', Di Giusto M. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Karweina S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Keller M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Fassnacht C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Monteiro J. ↓, Zoukrou T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luzern
43.3% | Draw
24.8% | Young Boys
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Young Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luzern that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Young Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luzern - Young Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.67) |
3.78 ↑
(3.7) |
2.92 ↑
(2.3) |
6.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Luzern - Young Boys?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Young Boys (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Luzern will win
(54 of 64 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.49% – 93.27%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luzern will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Luzern (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Young Boys (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 1.
- Luzern is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Young Boys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Young Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Luzern: Spadanuda K.
(Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R.
(Muscle Injury)
Conte F.
(Knee Injury)
Hadjam J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 30:50. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Young Boys?
Luzern has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Young Boys won against Luzern?
Young Boys has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Young Boys were as follows:
14.12.2025
Young Boys
-
Luzern
2:0
14.09.2025
Luzern
-
Young Boys
1:2
15.05.2025
Young Boys
-
Luzern
2:1
13.04.2025
Luzern
-
Young Boys
5:0
23.11.2024
Luzern
-
Young Boys
1:1
Latest results of Young Boys
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 72:35 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Basel ✔ | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
| 4 | Lugano ✔ | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 48:38 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 61:56 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 53:56 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45:53 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 34:82 | -48 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
