Result
1:2
07/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Austria | Disney+ |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | CT sport, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 France | L'Equipe |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Mexico | TVC Deportes 2 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (268/372) | 80% (374/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (268/372) | 80% (374/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/93) | 65% (74/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Katoto M-A. 🟨,
- 7', 1 - 0, Russo A. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Dumornay D. M. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 2, Dumornay D. M. ⚽,
- 35', Mead B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Mead B. ↓, Smith O. ↑,
- 56', Kelly C. ↓, Foord C. ↑,
- 63', Chawinga T. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
- 68', Heaps L. ↓, Egurrola D. ↑,
- 68', Joseph L. ↓, Brand J. ↑,
- 75', Caldentey M. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
- 75', Russo A. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
- 76', Katoto M-A. ↓, Hegerberg A. ↑,
- 79', Tarciane 🟨,
- 84', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 🟨,
- 87', Hinds T. ↓, McCabe K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arsenal LFC
35.5% | Draw
23.7% | Lyon
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal LFC's form might have worsened.Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Arsenal LFC - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.22) |
3.9 ↓
(4.1) |
2.28 ↓
(2.51) |
8.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lyon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lyon (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Arsenal LFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lyon is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Arsenal LFC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal LFC won against Lyon?
Arsenal LFC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Arsenal LFC?
Lyon has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal LFC - Lyon were as follows:
27.04.2025
Lyon
-
Arsenal LFC
1:4
19.04.2025
Arsenal LFC
-
Lyon
1:2
15.12.2022
Arsenal LFC
-
Lyon
0:1
19.10.2022
Lyon
-
Arsenal LFC
1:5
Latest results of Arsenal LFC
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Madrid W (11) | Manchester Utd W (6) | 0 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Bye | Bayern Munich W (4) | |
| 3 | Paris FC W (10) | Real Madrid W (7) | 0 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 5 | Leuven W (12) | Arsenal W (5) | 1 : 3, 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea W (3) | |
| 7 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Juventus W (8) | 2 : 0, 2 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Lyon W (2) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Manchester Utd W (6) | Bayern Munich W (4) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid W (7) | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 3 | Arsenal W (5) | Chelsea W (3) | |
| 4 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Lyon W (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
