Lyon vs Arsenal LFC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women Lyon - Arsenal LFC
Result
1:4
27/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
australiaAustraliaFox Sports 506
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
franceFranceDAZN 5, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoMAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
spainSpain3Cat, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK, DAZN, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaDAZN USA

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.17
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
81% (282/349)85% (397/468)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.752.55
Total shots
199
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
58
Passes
81% (282/349)85% (397/468)
Long passes
37% (14/38)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
73% (67/92)77% (96/125)
Crosses
26% (9/35)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.72
Throw-ins
2917
Fouls
85
Tackles
56% (14/25)65% (15/23)
Duels won
6247
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.550.75
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Endler C. (Own goal),
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Caldentey M. , Russo A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 3, Russo A. ,
  • 58', Chawinga T. , Majri A. ,
  • 60', Egurrola D. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 4, Foord C. ,
  • 69', Hegerberg A. , Le Sommer E. ,
  • 69', Heaps L. , van de Donk D. ,
  • 72', Russo A. , Blackstenius S. ,
  • 72', Kelly C. , Mead B. ,
  • 75', Renard W. , Sombath A. ,
  • 75', Egurrola D. , Marozsan D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Dumornay D. M. ,
  • 87', Caldentey M. , Cooney-Cross K. ,
  • 87', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. , Wubben-Moy C. ,
  • 87', van Domselaar D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', McCabe K. , Reid K. ,

Chances of winning


Lyon
56%
Draw
21.6%
Arsenal LFC
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 20.1% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 18.8% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.
  • Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal LFC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lyon - Arsenal LFC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.49)
    4.29
    (4.65)
    4.18
    (5.45)
    7.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Lyon - Arsenal LFC?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • Lyon in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Arsenal LFC is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Arsenal LFC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal LFC have a series of home games.
    • In this match Lyon is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Lyon to win the game is with odds 1.57.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lyon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Arsenal LFC were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 1:2
    15.12.2022 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 0:1
    19.10.2022 Lyon - Arsenal LFC 1:5
    Latest results of Lyon
    23.04.2025 Nantes - Lyon 0:2
    19.04.2025 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 1:2
    12.04.2025 Lyon - Paris FC 2:2
    30.03.2025 Lyon - Fleury 91 4:0
    26.03.2025 Lyon - Bayern Munich 4:1
    Latest results of Arsenal LFC
    19.04.2025 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 1:2
    26.03.2025 Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid 3:0
    Draw
    Qualification - First stage

    Semi-finals
    1Racing Luxembourg WAEK Athens FC W
    2Flora WRiga FC W1 : 4
    3Anenii Noi WSwieqi W0 : 5
    4Myjava WBuducnost W
    5Ljuboten WNSI Runavik W
    6NSA Sofia WPyunik Yerevan W0 : 1
    7Fomget GSK WNeftci Baku W
    8ByeKiryat Gat W
    9Cardiff City WAthlone WFC W
    10ByeAgram Zagreb W
    11Mitrovica WCliftonville W
    12ByeGuria L. W

    Final
    1TBD #1Riga FC W
    2Swieqi WTBD #4
    3TBD #5Pyunik Yerevan W
    4TBD #7Kiryat Gat W
    5TBD #9Agram Zagreb W
    6TBD #11Guria L. W