Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ Foot |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV, Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | FOX Sports Premium |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (507/573) | 78% (283/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (507/573) | 78% (283/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (38/57) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (106/124) | 66% (68/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Tolisso C. ⚽, de Carvalho M. (A),
- 45+3', Vouilloz N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tessmann T. ↓, Morton T. ↑,
- 46', Metinho ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
- 46', Vouilloz N. ↓, Ruegg K. ↑,
- 61', Otele P. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 72', Soticek M. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 72', Maitland-Niles A. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 72', Fofana M. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
- 79', Tolisso C. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
- 79', Merah K. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 84', Shaqiri X. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
- 89', Niakhate M. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 0, Moreira A. ⚽, Karabec A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lyon
64.9% | Draw
20.2% | Basel
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Lyon - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.6) |
4.91 ↑
(4.36) |
6.93 ↑
(5.01) |
1.7%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lyon - Basel?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Lyon (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(53 of 59 users predict this - 89.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.12% – 97.54%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Basel (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Lyon is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Ghezzal R.
(Inactive)
Mangala O.
(Knee Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Basel: Tsunemoto K.
(Hamstring Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Lyon: Descamps R.
(Wrist Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Basel?
Lyon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Lyon?
Basel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Basel were as follows:
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
