Lyon vs Le Havre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lyon - Le Havre
16/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
Lyon - Le Havre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.841.72
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
1614
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1220
Offsides
20
Fouls
2012
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1811
Touches in the Opposition Box
3219
Passes
91% (552/608)79% (236/298)
Passes in the final third
86% (142/166)64% (42/66)
Crosses
20% (4/20)40% (4/10)
Tackles
61% (11/18)59% (13/22)
Clearances Total
1127
Interceptions
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Lacazette A. (Pen),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Toure A. (Pen),
  • 37', Matic N. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Casimir J. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Matic N. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
  • 55', Nuamah E. 🟨,
  • 63', Gorgelin M. 🟨,
  • 67', Nego L. 🟨,
  • 71', Kechta Y. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
  • 71', Ayew A. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
  • 71', Soumare I. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
  • 71', Nuamah E. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
  • 77', Cherki R. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Fofana M. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
  • 82', 3 - 2, Mikautadze G. ⚽,
  • 85', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 86', Lacazette A. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Toure A. ↓, Housni I. ↑,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Almada T. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),

Chances of winning


Lyon
71.2%		Draw
17.6%		Le Havre
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 17.6% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 17.2% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
    •

    Lyon - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.34 ↓
    (1.35)    		 5.38 ↓
    (5.41)    		 8.65 ↑
    (8.09)    		 4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Lyon - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 36 - 80%). Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 68.3% – 91.7%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Lyon is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Le Havre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Le Havre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lyon is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Kitala Y. (Inactive) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Sangante A. (Back Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Lyon to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lyon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Le Havre were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Le Havre - Lyon 0:4
    14.01.2024 Le Havre - Lyon 3:1
    17.09.2023 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    13.03.2025 Lyon - FCSB 4:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Nice - Lyon 0:2 ✺
    06.03.2025 FCSB - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4 ✺
    16.02.2025 Le Havre - Nice 1:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Lille - Le Havre 1:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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