Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 16
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/367) | 79% (213/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/367) | 79% (213/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (87/116) | 64% (51/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Nego L. 🟨,
- 37', Morton T. 🟨,
- 38', Soumare I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
- 63', Nego L. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
- 63', Kechta Y. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 68', Ndiaye R. 🟨,
- 71', Seko A. 🟨,
- 71', Namli Y. 🟨,
- 73', Merah K. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
- 73', Satriano M. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
- 74', Niakhate M. 🟨,
- 78', Namli Y. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
- 78', Samatta A. ↓, Obougou N. ↑,
- 85', Hateboer H. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 89', Sulc P. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lyon 57.5% | Draw 24.2% | Le Havre 18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lyon - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.66 ↑ (1.55) |
3.93 ↓ (4.16) |
5.23 ↓ (5.86) |
4.7% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lyon - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 62.8% – 89.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lyon (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Le Havre (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lyon (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Lyon (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- Lyon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Le Havre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Maitland-Niles A.
(Red Card)
Mangala O.
(Muscle Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Tessmann T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Ebonog S.
(Injury)
Khadra R.
(Inactive)
Toure A.
(Injury)
Zagadou S.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Le Havre?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Lyon?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Le Havre were as follows:
16.03.2025
Lyon
-
Le Havre
0:0
20.10.2024
Le Havre
-
Lyon
0:4
14.01.2024
Le Havre
-
Lyon
3:1
17.09.2023
Lyon
-
Le Havre
0:0
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2