Le Havre vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:0
15/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceLigue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.741.10
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
44
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
22
Passes
77% (206/268)87% (446/511)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.741.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.01
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
77
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
1011
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free kicks
167
Passes
77% (206/268)87% (446/511)
Long passes
35% (19/54)70% (30/43)
Passes in final third
64% (36/56)81% (169/209)
Crosses
42% (8/19)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.12
Throw ins
1626
Fouls
716
Tackles
74% (14/19)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
2318
Interceptions
102
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.010.91
Goals prevented
1.010.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Karabec A. 🟨,
  • 42', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Zagadou S. 🟥,
  • 58', Karabec A. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
  • 63', Samatta A. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
  • 68', Vinette E. K. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
  • 72', Mangala O. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
  • 74', Fonseca P. 🟨,
  • 80', Hateboer H. ↓, Hamdani A. ↑,
  • 80', Endrick ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,
  • 80', Tagliafico N. ↓, Kango S. ↑,
  • 83', Tessmann T. 🟨,
  • 84', Boufal S. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
  • 88', Diaw M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
26.3%		Draw
28.1%		Lyon
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 26.6% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 27.1% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
    •

    Le Havre - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.66 ↓
    (3.83)    		 3.4 ↓
    (3.55)    		 2.1 ↑
    (1.94)    		 4.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 54.7% – 88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Le Havre (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Lyon (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Lyon (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB, 2nd Half - Le Havre (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 2 - 25%). Lyon (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Le Havre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lyon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lyon could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Ebonog S. (Yellow Cards) Lloris G. (Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Himbert R. (Injury) Kluivert R. (Hamstring Injury) Maitland-Niles A. (Injury) Mata C. (Yellow Cards) Moreira A. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Doucoure F. (Inactive) Nego L. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lyon were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 1:0
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    20.10.2024 Le Havre - Lyon 0:4
    14.01.2024 Le Havre - Lyon 3:1
    17.09.2023 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    08.03.2026 Brest - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    28.02.2026 Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Nantes - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Le Havre - Toulouse 2:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    12.03.2026 Celta de Vigo - Lyon 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 Lyon - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    05.03.2026 Lyon - Lens 2:3 ✺
    01.03.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lyon 3:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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