Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | CCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+ |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Italy | Sky Sport Max |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.39 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
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14 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
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85% (363/426) | 82% (303/369) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 4 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.39 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.95 | 1.04 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
24 | 20 |
Passes |
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85% (363/426) | 82% (303/369) |
Long passes |
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61% (28/46) | 50% (21/42) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (117/152) | 73% (52/71) |
Crosses |
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13% (3/24) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.63 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
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9 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 24 |
Tackles |
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25% (2/8) | 36% (4/11) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 47 |
Clearances |
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12 | 41 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.04 | 0.95 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Morton T. ⚽, Tagliafico N. (A),
- 43', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 69', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 72', Genesio B. 🟥,
- 72', Fofana M. 🟨,
- 74', Correia F. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 74', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 75', Karabec A. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 75', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
- 76', Moreira A. 🟨,
- 79', Bouaddi A. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
- 83', Sulc P. 🟨,
- 86', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
- 87', Igamane H. 🟨,
- 90+2', Santos T. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille 36.4% | Draw 28.8% | Lyon 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Lille - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.86 ↑ (2.27) |
3.49 ↓ (3.5) |
2.77 ↓ (3.1) |
-0.2% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 29.3% – 66.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Meunier T.
(Groin Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius
(Groin Injury)
Descamps R.
(Wrist Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Perraud R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lyon?
Lille has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Lille?
Lyon has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Lyon were as follows:
05.04.2025
Lyon
-
Lille
2:1
01.11.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
1:1
06.05.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
3:4
07.02.2024
Lyon
-
Lille
2:1
26.11.2023
Lyon
-
Lille
0:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Paris FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2