Lille vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lille - Lyon
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaCCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalySky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (363/426)82% (303/369)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.04
Total shots
145
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3714
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2420
Passes
85% (363/426)82% (303/369)
Long passes
61% (28/46)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
77% (117/152)73% (52/71)
Crosses
13% (3/24)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.67
Throw-ins
912
Fouls
2024
Tackles
25% (2/8)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1241
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.040.95
Goals prevented
0.040.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Morton T. , Tagliafico N. (A),
  • 43', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 69', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 72', Genesio B. 🟥,
  • 72', Fofana M. 🟨,
  • 74', Correia F. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 74', Mukau N. , Bentaleb N. ,
  • 75', Karabec A. , Moreira A. ,
  • 75', Merah K. , Sulc P. ,
  • 76', Moreira A. 🟨,
  • 79', Bouaddi A. , Igamane H. ,
  • 83', Sulc P. 🟨,
  • 86', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
  • 87', Igamane H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Santos T. , Mbappe E. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
36.4%
Draw
28.8%
Lyon
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 27.2% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.8% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Lille - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.27)
    3.49
    (3.5)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    -0.2%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 29.3%66.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Meunier T. (Groin Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Groin Injury) Descamps R. (Wrist Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Perraud R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Lyon were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    01.11.2024 Lille - Lyon 1:1
    06.05.2024 Lille - Lyon 3:4
    07.02.2024 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    26.11.2023 Lyon - Lille 0:2
    Latest results of Lille
    25.09.2025 Lille - Brann 2:1
    20.09.2025 Lens - Lille 3:0
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7
    24.08.2025 Lille - Monaco 1:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    25.09.2025 Utrecht - Lyon 0:1
    19.09.2025 Lyon - Angers 1:0
    14.09.2025 Rennes - Lyon 3:1
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG650112:4815
    2Lyon65018:3515
    3Marseille640212:5712
    4Monaco640214:10412
    5Strasbourg64029:7212
    6Lille631213:9410
    7Lens63128:5310
    8Rennes62317:8-19
    9Brest621311:1107
    10Toulouse62139:11-27
    11Paris FC621310:13-37
    12Nice62137:10-37
    13Lorient62139:14-57
    14Auxerre62044:8-46
    15Le Havre61236:8-25
    16Nantes61235:7-25
    17Angers61233:6-35
    18Metz60245:13-82

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2