Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/416) | 90% (493/549) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/416) | 90% (493/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 42% (14/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (43/69) | 81% (123/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Nartey N. ⚽, Kluivert R. (A),
- 42', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ngoy N. 🟨,
- 61', Mukau N. 🟨,
- 68', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 68', Mukau N. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
- 78', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
- 82', Sulc P. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,
- 85', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
- 85', Santos T. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
- 90+1', Endrick ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
- 90+1', Abner Vinicius ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lyon
46.6% | Draw
26.6% | Lille
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Lyon - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.14) |
3.57 ↑
(3.55) |
3.58 ↑
(3.23) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lyon - Lille?
Users Predictions:
79 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 59 - 74.7%). Lille will win (votes: 7 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 65.1% – 84.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lille (2.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Lille (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Lyon (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 48 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 38 - 79.2%). Lille (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4.
- Lyon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lille is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lyon might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Ghezzal R.
(Muscle Injury)
Mangala O.
(Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Tagliafico N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tolisso C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Meunier T.
(Muscle Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Lille?
Lyon has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lyon?
Lille has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lille were as follows:
11.01.2026
Lille
-
Lyon
1:2
28.09.2025
Lille
-
Lyon
0:1
05.04.2025
Lyon
-
Lille
2:1
01.11.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
1:1
06.05.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
3:4
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
