Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.81 | 0.94 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 3 |
Passes |
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89% (543/609) | 86% (403/469) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.81 | 0.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.60 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
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10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 19 |
Through passes |
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0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 15 |
Passes |
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89% (543/609) | 86% (403/469) |
Long passes |
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45% (17/38) | 67% (24/36) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (68/99) | 67% (72/107) |
Crosses |
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10% (1/10) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.06 | 0.61 |
Fouls |
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15 | 14 |
Tackles |
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65% (11/17) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
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38 | 60 |
Clearances Total |
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14 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.07 | 1.60 |
Goals prevented |
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0.07 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Diakite B. ⚽, Andre B. (A),
- 7', Nuamah E. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
- 22', Lacazette A. 🟨,
- 25', Tolisso C. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Lacazette A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Andre B. 🟨,
- 62', Mukau N. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 68', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 69', Matic N. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Cherki R. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
- 72', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 72', Bakker M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 72', Diakite B. 🟨,
- 77', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
- 83', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
- 84', Gomes A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 90+1', Almada T. ↓, Akouokou P. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdeebwas
Chances of winning
Lyon 41.4% | Draw 26.7% | Lille 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Lyon - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.1) |
3.56 ↓ (3.7) |
2.99 ↓ (3.2) |
4.9% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lyon - Lille?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 38 - 79.2%). Lille will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 67.7% – 90.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Lille (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 2.
- Lyon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Lyon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Lyon: Caleta-Car D.
(Injury)
Fofana M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Mbappe E.
(Illness)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lyon won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:31 (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Lille?
Lyon has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lyon?
Lille has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lille were as follows:
01.11.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
1:1
06.05.2024
Lille
-
Lyon
3:4
07.02.2024
Lyon
-
Lille
2:1
26.11.2023
Lyon
-
Lille
0:2
10.03.2023
Lille
-
Lyon
3:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2