Lyon vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lyon - Lille
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.94
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
89% (543/609)86% (403/469)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.601.07
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1919
Through passes
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
89% (543/609)86% (403/469)
Long passes
45% (17/38)67% (24/36)
Passes in final third
69% (68/99)67% (72/107)
Crosses
10% (1/10)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.61
Fouls
1514
Tackles
65% (11/17)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3860
Clearances Total
1418
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.071.60
Goals prevented
0.07-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Diakite B. , Andre B. (A),
  • 7', Nuamah E. , Cherki R. ,
  • 22', Lacazette A. 🟨,
  • 25', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Lacazette A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 62', Mukau N. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 68', Lacazette A. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 69', Matic N. , Veretout J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Cherki R. , Tolisso C. (A),
  • 72', David J. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 72', Bakker M. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 72', Diakite B. 🟨,
  • 77', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
  • 83', Gudmundsson G. , Ismaily ,
  • 84', Gomes A. , Bentaleb N. ,
  • 90+1', Almada T. , Akouokou P. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdeebwas

Chances of winning


Lyon
41.4%
Draw
26.7%
Lille
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 25.5% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 24.7% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Lyon - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.1)
    3.56
    (3.7)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Lyon - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 38 - 79.2%). Lille will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 67.7%90.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Lille (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 2.
    • Lyon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lyon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Caleta-Car D. (Injury) Fofana M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Mbappe E. (Illness) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lyon won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:31 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lille were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Lille - Lyon 1:1
    06.05.2024 Lille - Lyon 3:4
    07.02.2024 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    26.11.2023 Lyon - Lille 0:2
    10.03.2023 Lille - Lyon 3:3
    Latest results of Lyon
    28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    13.03.2025 Lyon - FCSB 4:0
    09.03.2025 Nice - Lyon 0:2
    06.03.2025 FCSB - Lyon 1:3
    Latest results of Lille
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0
    12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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