Nice vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
18/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.603.04
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
529
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
116
Passes
76% (195/258)87% (476/547)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.603.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.772.96
Total shots
529
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
015
Shots inside the Box
516
Shots outside the Box
013
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
116
Touches in opposition box
1450
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
119
Passes
76% (195/258)87% (476/547)
Long passes
42% (19/45)58% (22/38)
Passes in final third
66% (50/76)75% (147/195)
Crosses
25% (2/8)21% (10/48)
Expected assists (xA)
0.162.08
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
911
Tackles
62% (8/13)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
5612
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.961.77
Goals prevented
0.96-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Bard M. , Diop S. (A),
  • 26', Clinton Mata 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Sulc P. , Kluivert R. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 1, Diop S. , Boga J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Maitland-Niles A. (Pen),
  • 55', 3 - 1, Boudaoui H. , Clauss J. (A),
  • 64', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 66', Dante , Bah J. ,
  • 68', Karabec A. , Ghezzal R. ,
  • 68', Abner Vinicius , Tagliafico N. ,
  • 73', Cho M. , Louchet T. ,
  • 73', Boga J. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 73', Diop S. , Sanson M. ,
  • 77', Morton T. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 77', Fofana M. , Moreira A. ,
  • 77', Clinton Mata , Niakhate M. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Sulc P. ,
  • 90+6', Niakhate M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
46.6%
Draw
26.7%
Lyon
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.4% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 29.5% 31.2%

Nice - Lyon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.44)
3.7
(3.48)
3.82
(2.84)
1.3%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nice - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Lyon will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 46.6%77.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
    • Nice is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lyon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Red Card) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Descamps R. (Wrist Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Lyon were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Nice - Lyon 0:2
    01.12.2024 Lyon - Nice 4:1
    16.02.2024 Lyon - Nice 1:0
    27.08.2023 Nice - Lyon 0:0
    03.06.2023 Nice - Lyon 3:1
    Latest results of Nice
    05.10.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:2
    02.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Nice 2:1
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    Latest results of Lyon
    05.10.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 1:2
    02.10.2025 Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg 2:0
    28.09.2025 Lille - Lyon 0:1
    25.09.2025 Utrecht - Lyon 0:1
    19.09.2025 Lyon - Angers 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1473421:15624
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Paris FC1544721:26-516
    14Le Havre1536613:21-815
    15Lorient1435618:28-1014
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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