Result
3:2
18/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 8
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (195/258) | 87% (476/547) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 15 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 16 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (195/258) | 87% (476/547) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 58% (22/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (50/76) | 75% (147/195) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 21% (10/48) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 56 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Bard M. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
- 26', Clinton Mata 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽, Kluivert R. (A),
- 35', 2 - 1, Diop S. ⚽, Boga J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Maitland-Niles A. (Pen),
- 55', 3 - 1, Boudaoui H. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
- 64', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
- 66', Dante ↓, Bah J. ↑,
- 68', Karabec A. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,
- 68', Abner Vinicius ↓, Tagliafico N. ↑,
- 73', Cho M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 73', Boga J. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 73', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 77', Morton T. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
- 77', Fofana M. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 77', Clinton Mata ↓, Niakhate M. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Sulc P. ⚽,
- 90+6', Niakhate M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nice
46.6% | Draw
26.7% | Lyon
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nice's performance.Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Nice - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.44) |
3.7 ↑
(3.48) |
3.82 ↑
(2.84) |
1.3%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nice - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Lyon will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 46.6% – 77.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
- Nice is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lyon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Abdi A.
(Red Card)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Moffi T.
(Calf Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Lyon: Descamps R.
(Wrist Injury)
Mangala O.
(Knee Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lyon?
Nice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Nice?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Lyon were as follows:
09.03.2025
Nice
-
Lyon
0:2
01.12.2024
Lyon
-
Nice
4:1
16.02.2024
Lyon
-
Nice
1:0
27.08.2023
Nice
-
Lyon
0:0
03.06.2023
Nice
-
Lyon
3:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
