Nice vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Nice - Lyon
Result
0:2
09/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport+
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.86
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
188
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
91
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
00
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1718
Touches in the Opposition Box
3012
Passes
82% (318/386)88% (604/683)
Passes in the final third
72% (74/103)70% (88/125)
Crosses
40% (8/20)20% (2/10)
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
1728
Interceptions
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
  • 66', Fofana M. ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
  • 67', Cho M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
  • 72', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟨,
  • 77', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
  • 77', Matic N. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 78', Boudaoui H. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
  • 78', Laborde G. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Cherki R. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
  • 83', 0 - 2, Nuamah E. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
  • 84', Bard M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
  • 84', Bombito M. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
  • 89', Almada T. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
  • 90+5', Tolisso C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
46.5%		Draw
26.3%		Lyon
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 26.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 26.2% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nice's performance.
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Nice - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.06 ↓
    (2.4)    		 3.64 ↑
    (3.6)    		 3.51 ↑
    (2.81)    		 4.4%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Nice - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 3 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 65.2% – 89%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nice won 1.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nice will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nice: Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nice won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:35 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nice won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Lyon were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Lyon - Nice 4:1
    16.02.2024 Lyon - Nice 1:0
    27.08.2023 Nice - Lyon 0:0
    03.06.2023 Nice - Lyon 3:1
    11.11.2022 Lyon - Nice 1:1
    Latest results of Nice
    01.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3 ✺
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    16.02.2025 Le Havre - Nice 1:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Nice - Lens 2:0 ✺
    05.02.2025 Stade Briochin - Nice 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    06.03.2025 FCSB - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3 ✺
    16.02.2025 Montpellier - Lyon 1:4 ✺
    09.02.2025 Lyon - Reims 4:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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