Result
0:2
09/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (318/386) | 88% (604/683) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 72% (74/103) | 70% (88/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 20% (2/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
- 66', Fofana M. ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
- 67', Cho M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 72', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟨,
- 77', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 77', Matic N. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
- 78', Boudaoui H. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
- 78', Laborde G. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Cherki R. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
- 83', 0 - 2, Nuamah E. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
- 84', Bard M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
- 84', Bombito M. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
- 89', Almada T. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
- 90+5', Tolisso C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nice
46.5% | Draw
26.3% | Lyon
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nice's performance.Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nice - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.4) |
3.64 ↑
(3.6) |
3.51 ↑
(2.81) |
4.4%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Nice - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 3 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 65.2% – 89%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nice won 1.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Nice will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nice: Moffi T.
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nice: Sanson M.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nice won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:35 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nice won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lyon?
Nice has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Nice?
Lyon has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Lyon were as follows:
01.12.2024
Lyon
-
Nice
4:1
16.02.2024
Lyon
-
Nice
1:0
27.08.2023
Nice
-
Lyon
0:0
03.06.2023
Nice
-
Lyon
3:1
11.11.2022
Lyon
-
Nice
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
