Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Ligue Women - Round 14
- Referee: Goncalves C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 France | CANAL+ France, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (238/316) | 78% (298/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (238/316) | 78% (298/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 52% (16/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (47/73) | 58% (53/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Chawinga T. ⚽, Dumornay D. M. (A),
- 36', Kanjinga M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mbock G. ↓, Samoura T. ↑,
- 49', Tarciane 🟨,
- 50', Ebayilin A. 🟨,
- 60', Groenen J. 🟨,
- 65', Katoto M-A. ↓, Hegerberg A. ↑,
- 65', Tarciane ↓, Lawrence A. ↑,
- 73', Dumornay D. M. ↓, Heaps L. ↑,
- 73', Diani K. ↓, Brand J. ↑,
- 74', Groenen J. ↓, Ajibade R. ↑,
- 81', Isabela ↓, Dudek P. ↑,
- 81', Ebayilin A. ↓, Yaya ↑,
- 84', Chawinga T. ↓, Becho V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain
10.1% | Draw
18.1% | Lyon
71.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.06 ↑
(7.55) |
5.06 ↑
(5.03) |
1.27 ↓
(1.34) |
9.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - PSG (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 0.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lyon is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lyon?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lyon has won 12 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon were as follows:
27.09.2025
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
6:1
16.05.2025
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
3:0
18.01.2025
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
0:2
03.11.2024
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:0
17.05.2024
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
2:1
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Division 1 Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon W | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 61:7 | 54 | 46 |
| 2 | Nantes W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 30:28 | 2 | 30 |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:12 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Fleury 91 W | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | PSG W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:22 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Strasbourg W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Dijon W | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 8 | Le Havre W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
| 9 | Marseille W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 10 | St Etienne W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8:28 | -20 | 9 |
| 11 | Montpellier W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 9 |
| 12 | Lens W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14:39 | -25 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women
