Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Division 1 Women Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
3:0
16/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiere Ligue Women - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Collin A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCanal+
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaDAZN USA

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.59
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
79% (278/351)77% (282/368)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.00
Total shots
137
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
129
Passes
79% (278/351)77% (282/368)
Long passes
56% (31/55)26% (10/39)
Passes in final third
69% (63/91)63% (57/90)
Crosses
17% (3/18)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.68
Throw-ins
2821
Fouls
912
Tackles
78% (7/9)81% (17/21)
Duels won
2747
Clearances
1528
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.89
Goals prevented
0.00-1.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', van de Donk D. , Dabritz S. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Dumornay D. M. , Heaps L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', Dunn C. , Hurtre O. ,
  • 72', Le Sommer E. , Chawinga T. ,
  • 72', Kanjinga M. , Echegini O. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Diani K. , Carpenter E. (A),
  • 81', Hurtre O. 🟨,
  • 83', Groenen J. , Fazer L. ,
  • 84', Albert K. , Katoto M-A. ,
  • 85', Bacha S. , Svava S. ,
  • 86', Diani K. , Hegerberg A. ,
  • 86', Heaps L. , Marozsan D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Renard W. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lyon
65.5%
Draw
21.4%
Paris Saint-Germain
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 22.2% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 21.7% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.5)
    4.25
    (4.14)
    6.99
    (5.54)
    9.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 5.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lyon is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon 0:2
    03.11.2024 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0
    17.05.2024 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1
    28.04.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon 1:2
    20.04.2024 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2
    Latest results of Lyon
    11.05.2025 Lyon - Dijon 4:1
    07.05.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 2:0
    27.04.2025 Lyon - Arsenal LFC 1:4
    23.04.2025 Nantes - Lyon 0:2
    19.04.2025 Arsenal LFC - Lyon 1:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Lyon W (1)Dijon W (4)4 : 1
    2PSG W (2)Paris FC W (3)3 : 0

    Final
    1Lyon W (1)PSG W (2)3 : 0