Result
09/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 12
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Chances of winning
Lyon
21.5% | Draw
24% | Paris Saint-Germain
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.47 ↑
(4.42) |
4.02 ↓
(4.23) |
1.77 ↑
(1.68) |
3.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). PSG will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 56% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Lyon (2.03) (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH +0.75 - PSG (1.98) (votes: 5 - 100%).
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 0.
- Lyon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius
(Red Card)
Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomes A.
(Inactive)
Hateboer H.
(Red Card)
Mangala O.
(Knee Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Sulc P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Dembele O.
(Calf Injury)
Doue D.
(Muscle Injury)
Hakimi A.
(Ankle Injury)
Mendes N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 20:46. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lyon?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
23.02.2025
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
2:3
15.12.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
3:1
25.05.2024
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:2
21.04.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
4:1
03.09.2023
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:4
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | PSG | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
