Result
2:3
09/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 12
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (211/271) | 90% (658/730) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (211/271) | 90% (658/730) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (38/62) | 76% (105/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.57 | -1.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Zaire-Emery W. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽, Niakhate M. (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
- 44', Clinton Mata 🟨,
- 45+1', Mayulu S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 2, Maitland-Niles A. ⚽, Morton T. (A),
- 57', Morton T. 🟨,
- 58', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 64', Ghezzal R. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
- 67', Mayulu S. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
- 74', Hernandez L. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 75', Ruiz F. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
- 75', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 78', Merah K. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
- 90+3', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Tolisso C. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Neves J. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
- 90+6', Ramos G. 🟨,
- 90+7', Satriano M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lyon
21% | Draw
24.1% | Paris Saint-Germain
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.6 ↑
(4.42) |
4.02 ↓
(4.23) |
1.75 ↑
(1.68) |
3.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Lyon (2.15) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Lyon (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - PSG (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Paris Saint-Germain will win
(40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 5 - 16.7%). PSG (votes: 25 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 0.
- Lyon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius
(Red Card)
Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomes A.
(Inactive)
Hateboer H.
(Red Card)
Mangala O.
(Knee Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Sulc P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Dembele O.
(Calf Injury)
Doue D.
(Muscle Injury)
Hakimi A.
(Ankle Injury)
Mendes N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 20:46. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lyon?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
23.02.2025
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
2:3
15.12.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
3:1
25.05.2024
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:2
21.04.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
4:1
03.09.2023
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:4
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43:16 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | Lens | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 34:16 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | Lyon | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Lille | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
| 9 | Lorient | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | Monaco | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Angers | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Brest | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Nice | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16:25 | -9 | 20 |
| 16 | Nantes | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 13 |
| 18 | Metz | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
