Result
2:3
23/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 23
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
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 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 France | beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
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 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
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 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 2.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (279/337) | 92% (606/660) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 78% (72/92) | 80% (129/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 25% (3/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Hakimi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 53', 0 - 1, Hakimi A. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
- 59', 0 - 2, Dembele O. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
- 61', Doue D. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
- 64', Nuamah E. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 64', Matic N. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
- 68', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 74', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 74', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
- 80', Fofana M. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 80', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Cherki R. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
- 85', Almada T. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 3, Hakimi A. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Tolisso C. ⚽, Maitland-Niles A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lyon
16.6% | Draw
20.4% | Paris Saint-Germain
62.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.76 ↑
(3.98) |
4.68 ↑
(4.21) |
1.52 ↓
(1.79) |
4.7%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS En Español
What is the prediction for Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 6 - 11.8%). PSG will win (votes: 34 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 53.8% – 79.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 1.
- Recent matches Lyon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- PSG is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match PSG is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Akouokou P.
(Injury)
Omari W.
(Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Mbaye I.
(Ankle Injury)
Zaire-Emery W.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lyon won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 19:45 (average 1:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:22 (average 1.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lyon?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
15.12.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
3:1
25.05.2024
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:2
21.04.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
4:1
03.09.2023
Lyon
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:4
02.04.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Lyon
0:1
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
