Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:3
09/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 12
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.44
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (211/271)90% (658/730)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.43
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
810
Passes
78% (211/271)90% (658/730)
Long passes
48% (20/42)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
61% (38/62)76% (105/138)
Crosses
25% (4/16)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.31
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
108
Tackles
73% (8/11)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3343
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.430.37
Goals prevented
-1.57-1.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Zaire-Emery W. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽, Niakhate M. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
  • 44', Clinton Mata 🟨,
  • 45+1', Mayulu S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Maitland-Niles A. ⚽, Morton T. (A),
  • 57', Morton T. 🟨,
  • 58', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 64', Ghezzal R. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
  • 67', Mayulu S. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
  • 74', Hernandez L. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
  • 75', Ruiz F. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
  • 75', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 78', Merah K. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
  • 90+3', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Neves J. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
  • 90+6', Ramos G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Satriano M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lyon
21%		Draw
24.1%		Paris Saint-Germain
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 22.4% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8% 21.8% 57.7%

Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.6 ↑
(4.42)		 4.02 ↓
(4.23)		 1.75 ↑
(1.68)		 3.9%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Lyon (2.15) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - PSG (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 0.
    • Lyon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Red Card) Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Hateboer H. (Red Card) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Calf Injury) Doue D. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Ankle Injury) Mendes N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 20:46. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3
    15.12.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon 3:1
    25.05.2024 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2
    21.04.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon 4:1
    03.09.2023 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4
    Latest results of Lyon
    06.11.2025 Betis - Lyon 2:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Brest - Lyon 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paris FC - Lyon 3:3 ✺
    26.10.2025 Lyon - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Lyon - Basel 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    04.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Brest - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3 ✺
    21.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain 2:7 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens17131331:131840
    2PSG17123237:152239
    3Marseille17102536:171932
    4Lille17102533:221132
    5Lyon1793525:17830
    6Rennes1786329:24530
    7Strasbourg1773726:21524
    8Toulouse1765624:22223
    9Monaco1772827:30-323
    10Angers1764718:20-222
    11Brest1764723:27-422
    12Lorient1747620:29-919
    13Le Havre1746715:23-818
    14Nice1753920:30-1018
    15Paris FC1744922:31-916
    16Nantes1735916:28-1214
    17Auxerre17331114:27-1312
    18Metz17331118:38-2012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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