Saint-Étienne vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Saint-Étienne - Lyon
Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, VOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Nova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceSKAI
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.75
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
84% (309/369)90% (486/541)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.69
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2434
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
84% (309/369)90% (486/541)
Long passes
50% (20/40)73% (36/49)
Passes in final third
77% (121/158)82% (93/113)
Crosses
29% (4/14)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.27
Fouls
1213
Tackles
57% (8/14)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4341
Clearances Total
3123
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.691.26
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Petrot L. (A),
  • 24', Stassin L. 🟨,
  • 27', Lacazette A. 🟨,
  • 28', Tolisso C. ↓, Akouokou P. ↑,
  • 32', Akouokou P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Akouokou P. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
  • 46', Veretout J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
  • 52', Mikautadze G. 🟨,
  • 63', Kumbedi S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽,
  • 74', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
  • 74', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Tessmann T. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
  • 78', Petrot L. 🟨,
  • 79', Appiah D. 🟨,
  • 89', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
  • 89', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
  • 90', Cherki R. ↓, Clinton Mata ↑,
  • 90+3', Clinton Mata 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
19.9%		Draw
21.5%		Lyon
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 22.3% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 21.5% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
    •

    Saint-Étienne - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.75 ↑
    (4.36)    		 4.43 ↑
    (4.27)    		 1.63 ↓
    (1.71)    		 4.9%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 64.2% – 91.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Saint-Étienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lyon is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Bouchouari B. (Back Injury) Cornud P. (Groin Injury) Macon Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Lucas Perri (Personal Reasons) Matic N. (Hip Injury) Molebe E. (Muscle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:32 (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Lyon were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Lyon - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain 1:6 ✺
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    17.04.2025 Manchester United - Lyon 5:4 ✺
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1 ✺
    28.03.2025 Strasbourg - Lyon 4:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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