Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 30
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | SKAI |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (309/369) | 90% (486/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (309/369) | 90% (486/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 73% (36/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (121/158) | 82% (93/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Petrot L. (A),
- 24', Stassin L. 🟨,
- 27', Lacazette A. 🟨,
- 28', Tolisso C. ↓, Akouokou P. ↑,
- 32', Akouokou P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Akouokou P. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
- 46', Veretout J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 52', Mikautadze G. 🟨,
- 63', Kumbedi S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽,
- 74', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 74', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Tessmann T. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
- 78', Petrot L. 🟨,
- 79', Appiah D. 🟨,
- 89', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
- 89', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Abdelhamid Y. ↑,
- 90', Cherki R. ↓, Clinton Mata ↑,
- 90+3', Clinton Mata 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
19.9% | Draw
21.5% | Lyon
58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Saint-Étienne - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.75 ↑
(4.36) |
4.43 ↑
(4.27) |
1.63 ↓
(1.71) |
4.9%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 64.2% – 91.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Lyon (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Saint-Étienne (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Lyon (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Saint-Étienne (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Lyon (votes: 16 - 84.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Saint-Étienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lyon is a favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Ankle Injury)
Bouchouari B.
(Back Injury)
Cornud P.
(Groin Injury)
Macon Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Lyon: Lucas Perri
(Personal Reasons)
Matic N.
(Hip Injury)
Molebe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:32 (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Lyon?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Saint-Étienne?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Lyon were as follows:
10.11.2024
Lyon
-
Saint-Étienne
1:0
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
