Stade Français vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Stade Français - Lyon
Result
31:30
17/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 3
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
13
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 17)
  • 6', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 7', Etien L. 🟨,
  • 9', Botha A. (Try),
  • 10', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Rattez V. (Try),
  • 21', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Nicotera G. (Try),
  • 25', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Macalou S. (Try),
  • 28', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (17 - 13)
  • 43', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 51', Alo-Emile P. (Try),
  • 51', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Couilloud B. (Try),
  • 57', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Ward J. C. (Try),
  • 61', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 78', Henry Z. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Stade Français
60.8%
Draw
3.9%
Lyon
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 4.4% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 5.5% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Français, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stade Français - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.6)
    24.34
    (21)
    2.62
    (2.5)
    7.8%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Stade Français - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.
    • Stade Français is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lyon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Stade Français may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Stade Français might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 390:539. (average 20.5:28.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 223:218. (average 24.8:24.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Français - Lyon were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Lyon - Stade Français 35:3
    23.03.2024 Stade Français - Lyon 22:13
    11.11.2023 Lyon - Stade Français 32:36
    14.05.2023 Stade Français - Lyon 31:31
    01.04.2023 Stade Français - Lyon 24:41
    Latest results of Stade Français
    Latest results of Lyon
    10.05.2025 Lyon - Section Paloise 27:29
    04.05.2025 Lyon - Racing Métro 29:15
    26.04.2025 Clermont - Lyon 39:31
    19.04.2025 Lyon - Montpellier 32:23
    12.04.2025 Ospreys - Lyon 18:20
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

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