Strasbourg vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Lyon
Result
4:2
28/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 27
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
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bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.122.11
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
711
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
84% (321/380)89% (513/579)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.122.11
xG on target (xGOT)
3.572.43
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
711
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1733
Through passes
50% (1/2)25% (2/8)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
84% (321/380)89% (513/579)
Long passes
46% (12/26)47% (14/30)
Passes in final third
61% (47/77)75% (118/157)
Crosses
20% (2/10)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.182.21
Fouls
1215
Tackles
47% (9/19)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4742
Clearances Total
2812
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
93
xGOT faced
2.433.57
Goals prevented
0.43-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Andrey Santos ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 0, Bakwa D. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽,
  • 66', Andrey Santos 🟨,
  • 70', Nanasi S. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
  • 70', Veretout J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Emegha E. ⚽, Barco V. (A),
  • 78', Nuamah E. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
  • 82', Emegha E. 🟨,
  • 82', Cherki R. 🟨,
  • 83', Tessmann T. 🟨,
  • 85', Abner Vinicius ↓, Tagliafico N. ↑,
  • 85', Tessmann T. ↓, Matic N. ↑,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽,
  • 90', Bakwa D. ↓, Delaine T. ↑,
  • 90+4', Barco V. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Emegha E. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Mikautadze G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
34.8%		Draw
26.2%		Lyon
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 26% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 26.3% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • The chances for Lyon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Strasbourg - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.72)    		 3.64 ↓
    (3.67)    		 2.44 ↓
    (2.44)    		 4.9%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Lyon will win (votes: 24 - 58.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 29.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 43.4% – 73.6%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1.
    • Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Bellaarouch A. (Groin Injury) Diarra H. (Ankle Injury) Dion M. S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Omobamidele A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouattara A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Knee Injury) Kumbedi S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lyon: Cherki R. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:35 (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Lyon were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Lyon - Strasbourg 4:3
    19.05.2024 Lyon - Strasbourg 2:1
    27.02.2024 Lyon - Strasbourg 1:0
    13.08.2023 Strasbourg - Lyon 2:1
    14.01.2023 Lyon - Strasbourg 1:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    09.03.2025 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Auxerre - Strasbourg 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Strasbourg - Brest 0:0 ✺
    16.02.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 0:2 ✺
    09.02.2025 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    13.03.2025 Lyon - FCSB 4:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Nice - Lyon 0:2 ✺
    06.03.2025 FCSB - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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