Haotian Lyu vs Matthew Stevens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:5
24/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UK Championship - Qualification - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Haotian Lyu
49.9%
Matthew Stevens
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haotian Lyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Matthew Stevens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haotian Lyu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Stevens than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Haotian Lyu - Matthew Stevens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.83)

    1.84
    (1.83)
    8.4%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lyu is ranked World Ranking: 48. Stevens is ranked World Ranking: 49.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lyu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lyu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haotian Lyu - Matthew Stevens were as follows:
    09.10.2025 Matthew Stevens - Haotian Lyu 4:5
    29.09.2022 Haotian Lyu - Matthew Stevens 1:0
    Latest results of Haotian Lyu
    02.11.2025 Wu Yize - Haotian Lyu 6:1
    17.10.2025 Haotian Lyu - David Grace Grace D. walkover
    Latest results of Matthew Stevens
    Draw
    Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trump J.Maguire S.6 : 4
    2Si JiahuiDay R.6 : 0
    3Ding J.Si X.6 : 4
    4Allen M.Donaldson S.1 : 6
    5Williams M.Gilbert D.6 : 4
    6Xiao G.Pang J.2 : 6
    7Wu Y.Holt M.6 : 4
    8Robertson N.Leclercq J.6 : 2
    9Wilson K.Slessor E.4 : 6
    10Hawkins B.Lilley D.6 : 4
    11Selby M.Peifan L.6 : 2
    12O'Sullivan R.Zhou Y.4 : 6
    13Higgins J.Woollaston B.6 : 2
    14Murphy S.Lyu H.6 : 2
    15Wilson G.Zhang A.5 : 6
    16Zhao X.Zehuang L.6 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Trump J.Si Jiahui6 : 3
    2Ding J.Donaldson S.6 : 5
    3Williams M.Pang J.3 : 6
    4Wu Y.Robertson N.1 : 6
    5Slessor E.Hawkins B.0 : 6
    6Selby M.Zhou Y.6 : 2
    7Higgins J.Murphy S.5 : 6
    8Zhang A.Zhao X.6 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trump J.Ding J.6 : 2
    2Pang J.Robertson N.4 : 6
    3Hawkins B.Selby M.2 : 6
    4Murphy S.Zhang A.6 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Trump J.Robertson N.6 : 3
    2Selby M.Murphy S.6 : 3

    Final
    1Trump J.Selby M.8 : 10