Macapá vs Independente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
09/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Amapaense - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
96
Total shots
714
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
26
Corner kicks
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 44', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 60', 1 - 2, ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Macapá
13%
Draw
19.9%
Independente
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.4% 18.3% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Macapá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Independente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Macapá - Independente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7
    (7.95)
    4.55
    (4.95)
    1.35
    (1.29)
    10.2%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Macapá - Independente?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Macapá (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Macapá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Macapá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Macapá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Independente is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Macapá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macapá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Macapá - Independente were as follows:
    03.03.2024 Macapá - Independente 1:2
    19.06.2023 Macapá - Independente 1:2
    Latest results of Macapá
    06.03.2026 Oratório - Macapá 3:0
    01.03.2026 Macapá - Ypiranga Clube 0:1
    22.02.2026 Cristal AP - Macapá 1:2
    15.02.2026 Macapá - São José 1:1
    07.02.2026 Trem - Macapá 1:0
    Latest results of Independente
    05.03.2026 Independente - Santos AP 2:2
    26.02.2026 Trem - Independente 1:1
    21.02.2026 Independente - Oratório 3:0
    18.02.2026 Ivinhema - Independente 1:0
    13.02.2026 Cristal AP - Independente 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sao JoseIndependente AP2 : 2, 2 : 2
    2OratorioSantos AP1 : 1