Result
1:2
20/01/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 15
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Cambodia | True Sport 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Laos | True Sport 2 |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Thailand | True Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 60 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (435/502) | 82% (321/393) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 79% (147/187) | 61% (46/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 13% (1/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 68% (19/28) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Rose L. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
- 16', 1 - 0, Hollman J. ⚽, Drew J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Supyk L. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 46', Oliveira B. ↓, Jakolis M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Nagasawa K. ⚽, Ishige H. (A),
- 71', 1 - 2, Barbarouses K. (Pen),
- 71', Adamson K. ↓, Scott W. ↑,
- 74', Sutton S. 🟨,
- 75', Retre P. ↓, Walker N. ↑,
- 84', Drew J. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
- 87', Kelly-Heald A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
52.7% | Draw
23.3% | Wellington Phoenix
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macarthur FC's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macarthur FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.02) |
4 ↑
(3.7) |
3.9 ↑
(3.34) |
7.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Wellington will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 1.
- Macarthur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Wellington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Macarthur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Macarthur is a favorite.
- There will not play in Macarthur: Popovic K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
Rojas M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Macarthur: Ikonomidis C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wellington: Payne T.
(Injury)
Rufer A.
(Illness)
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
(Knock)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:23 (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Macarthur won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Wellington Phoenix?
Macarthur FC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Macarthur FC?
Wellington Phoenix has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
13.12.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
27.04.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Macarthur FC
3:0
18.02.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:2
18.12.2023
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:3
12.02.2023
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
