Result
1:2
20/01/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 15
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Paramount+ |
Cambodia | True Sport 2 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Laos | True Sport 2 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Thailand | True Sport 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2 |
Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.84 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
30 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
20 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 8 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
60 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
87% (435/502) | 82% (321/393) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
79% (147/187) | 61% (46/75) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (11/33) | 13% (1/8) |
Tackles |
---|
59% (16/27) | 68% (19/28) |
Clearances Total |
---|
20 | 50 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Rose L. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
- 16', 1 - 0, Hollman J. ⚽, Drew J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Supyk L. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 46', Oliveira B. ↓, Jakolis M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Nagasawa K. ⚽, Ishige H. (A),
- 71', 1 - 2, Barbarouses K. (Pen),
- 71', Adamson K. ↓, Scott W. ↑,
- 74', Sutton S. 🟨,
- 75', Retre P. ↓, Walker N. ↑,
- 84', Drew J. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
- 87', Kelly-Heald A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC 52.7% | Draw 23.3% | Wellington Phoenix 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macarthur FC's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macarthur FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (2.02) |
4 ↑ (3.7) |
3.9 ↑ (3.34) |
7.1% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Wellington will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 1.
- Macarthur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Wellington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Macarthur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Macarthur is a favorite.
- There will not play in Macarthur: Popovic K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
Rojas M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Macarthur: Ikonomidis C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wellington: Payne T.
(Injury)
Rufer A.
(Illness)
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
(Knock)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:23 (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Macarthur won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Wellington Phoenix?
Macarthur FC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Macarthur FC?
Wellington Phoenix has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
13.12.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
27.04.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Macarthur FC
3:0
18.02.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:2
18.12.2023
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:3
12.02.2023
Macarthur FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |