Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix
Result
1:2
20/01/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 15
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
cambodiaCambodiaTrue Sport 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanU-NEXT
laosLaosTrue Sport 2
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
thailandThailandTrue Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.841.51
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
309
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
123
Blocked Shots
92
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
102
Shots inside the Box
208
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
28
Free Kicks
87
Offsides
20
Fouls
78
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2619
Touches in the Opposition Box
6019
Passes
87% (435/502)82% (321/393)
Passes in the final third
79% (147/187)61% (46/75)
Crosses
33% (11/33)13% (1/8)
Tackles
59% (16/27)68% (19/28)
Clearances Total
2050
Interceptions
1012

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Rose L. , De Silva D. ,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Hollman J. , Drew J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Supyk L. , Conchie F. ,
  • 46', Oliveira B. , Jakolis M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Nagasawa K. , Ishige H. (A),
  • 71', 1 - 2, Barbarouses K. (Pen),
  • 71', Adamson K. , Scott W. ,
  • 74', Sutton S. 🟨,
  • 75', Retre P. , Walker N. ,
  • 84', Drew J. , Ikonomidis C. ,
  • 87', Kelly-Heald A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Macarthur FC
52.7%
Draw
23.3%
Wellington Phoenix
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 25.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 25.3% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macarthur FC's performance.
  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macarthur FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.02)
    4
    (3.7)
    3.9
    (3.34)
    7.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Wellington will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 44.9%88.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 1.
    • Macarthur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Wellington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Macarthur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Macarthur is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Macarthur: Popovic K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury) Rojas M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Macarthur: Ikonomidis C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wellington: Payne T. (Injury) Rufer A. (Illness) Sloane-Rodrigues G. (Knock)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:23 (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Macarthur won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC 1:2
    27.04.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC 3:0
    18.02.2024 Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix 1:2
    18.12.2023 Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix 0:3
    12.02.2023 Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    Latest results of Macarthur FC
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0