Result
1:2
26/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligat ha'Al - Round 20
- Referee: Fuxman D. (Isr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (380/454) | 80% (296/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (380/454) | 80% (296/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (36/67) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (51/78) | 52% (32/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 20', Camara M. ↓, Ben Hamo I. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Peretz D. ⚽, Varela H. (A),
- 45+6', Coco M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mahamid A. ↓, Dappa D. ↑,
- 59', Jehezkel S. 🟨,
- 64', Morgan Z. ↓, Leidner D. ↑,
- 64', Lemkin A. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
- 71', Jehezkel S. ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 71', Noy I. ↓, Shahar I. ↑,
- 75', Korine R. ↓, Alkoukin R. ↑,
- 78', Sissokho I. 🟨,
- 85', Falcao ↓, Altman O. ↑,
- 90', Abu Farhi S. ↓, Malede Y. ↑,
- 90', Varela H. ↓, Ben Harush N. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Altman O. ⚽, Silva X. (A),
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Chico ⚽,
Chances of winning
Maccabi Tel Aviv
48.1% | Draw
25.5% | Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.7) |
3.68 ↓
(3.98) |
3.53 ↓
(4.04) |
7.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Tel Aviv: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 20%). Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Maccabi Tel Aviv has had a series of away games.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Asante T.
(Injury)
Belic K.
(Inactive)
Camara M.
(Inactive)
Davida O.
(Calf Injury)
Gropper D.
(Inactive)
Madmon E.
(Inactive)
Nicolaescu I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Benyamini D.
(Inactive)
Leidner D.
(Inactive)
Mayembo F.
(Inactive)
Silva X.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Buskila M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 14 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 48:10. (average 2.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:6. (average 2.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Maccabi Tel Aviv won against Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Maccabi Tel Aviv has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hapoel Tel Aviv won against Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv were as follows:
14.01.2026
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:2
19.10.2025
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Delayed
17.01.2024
Maccabi Tel Aviv
-
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4:2
26.09.2023
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:5
28.01.2023
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:0
Latest results of Maccabi Tel Aviv
Latest results of Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 54:23 | 31 | 55 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 56:27 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 50:28 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 39 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | Netanya | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 42:53 | -11 | 31 |
| 8 | Sakhnin | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:33 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Ironi Tiberias ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 26 |
| 10 | Kiryat Shmona ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Hapoel Haifa ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:40 | -10 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Ashdod ✔ | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30:47 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Hapoel Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Maccabi Bnei Raina ✔ | 24 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 17:57 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
H. Beer Sheva is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Beitar Jerusalem is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Maccabi Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Ironi Tiberias is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Kiryat Shmona is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Haifa is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
SC Ashdod is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Jerusalem is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Maccabi Bnei Raina is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
