Maceratese vs Castelfidardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Maceratese
55.9%
Draw
24.9%
Castelfidardo
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26.7% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 25.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maceratese's performance.
  • Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castelfidardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maceratese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelfidardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maceratese - Castelfidardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.9)
    3.71
    (3.35)
    4.79
    (3.4)
    8.4%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Maceratese is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Maceratese
    02.11.2025 Termoli - Maceratese 2:2
    26.10.2025 Maceratese - Ancona 1:5
    19.10.2025 Notaresco - Maceratese 2:1
    Latest results of Castelfidardo
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation