Machico vs Celoricense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
56
Total shots
83
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
41
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 66', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Machico
27.4%
Draw
31.1%
Celoricense
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 29% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 29.2% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machico's form might have worsened.
  • Celoricense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celoricense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Machico - Celoricense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.7)
    2.92
    (3.1)
    2.19
    (2.38)
    10.3%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Machico is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Celoricense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Machico
    25.01.2026 Limianos - Machico 2:0
    10.01.2026 Mirandela - Machico 2:0
    21.12.2025 Ribeira Brava - Machico 2:1
    07.12.2025 Vilaverdense - Machico 1:1
    Latest results of Celoricense
    17.01.2026 Bragança - Celoricense 1:1
    11.01.2026 Celoricense - Vilaverdense 1:1
    21.12.2025 Celoricense - Camacha 2:1
    07.12.2025 Celoricense - Brito 0:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca20115429:20938
    2AD Limianos1996426:20633
    3Celoricense2096532:191333
    4Brito1994624:18631
    5SC Vianense2086629:26330
    6Tirsense20610426:21528
    7Sao Martinho2083917:24-727
    8Camacha2069522:16627
    9SC Mirandela20811117:24-725
    10Chaves B2067728:24425
    11Machico2065922:28-623
    12Ribeira Brava1848617:27-1020
    13Vilaverdense2039814:20-618
    14Desportivo Moncao20351219:35-1614

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation