Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 75% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (33/46) | 70% (40/57) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 37% (7/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 71% (10/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (17/57) | 30% (14/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 48% (16/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 60% (3/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 62% (47/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (29/76) | 37% (29/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (79/155) | 49% (76/155) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 44% (12/27) |
Chances of winning
Alex Bolt
41.4% | Mackenzie McDonald
58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Bolt's performance.Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.63) |
|
1.72 ↑
(1.44) |
5.1%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Bolt is ranked ATP: 221. McDonald is ranked ATP: 96.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 3.
- Bolt has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- McDonald is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- McDonald could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that McDonald will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Bolt won against Mackenzie McDonald?
Alex Bolt has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mackenzie McDonald won against Alex Bolt?
Mackenzie McDonald has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Bolt - Mackenzie McDonald were as follows:
03.06.2025
Alex Bolt
-
Mackenzie McDonald
2:0
06.01.2025
Alex Bolt
-
Mackenzie McDonald
0:2
04.06.2024
Mackenzie McDonald
-
Alex Bolt
2:0
Latest results of Alex Bolt
Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Yevseyev D. (LL) | Gojo B. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Smith C. | Soriano Barrera A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tseng C. H. | Wu Tung-Lin (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Hanfmann Y. | Boyer T. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (3) | Shin S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Spizzirri E. | Zhukayev B. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sharipov M. (Q) | Eubanks C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Harris L. (Q) | Holt B. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Draxl L. (8) | Skatov T. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bar Biryukov P. (Q) | Harris B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jasika O. (Alt) | Cui J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bolt A. (Q) | Duckworth J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Basilashvili N. (5) | Holmgren A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tomic B. | Zhang T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Hsu Y. H. | Onclin G. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Te R. (WC) | McDonald M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Yevseyev D. | Smith C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tseng C. H. | Hanfmann Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Svrcina D. (3) | Spizzirri E. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Eubanks C. | Harris L. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Draxl L. (8) | Harris B. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Jasika O. | Bolt A. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Basilashvili N. (5) | Tomic B. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Onclin G. | McDonald M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Yevseyev D. | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Spizzirri E. | Harris L. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Harris B. | Bolt A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Tomic B. | McDonald M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hanfmann Y. | Spizzirri E. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bolt A. | McDonald M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Spizzirri E. | Bolt A. | 2 : 0 |
