Mackenzie McDonald vs Francisco Cerundolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	4
Double Faults
2	3
1st Serve Percentage
68%	61%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (47/82)	63% (31/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)	65% (20/31)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)	25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
37% (18/49)	43% (35/82)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (11/31)	51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)	42% (5/12)
Winners
4	4
Unforced Errors
8	17
Net Points Won
100% (3/3)	50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
55% (66/121)	64% (51/80)
Return Points Won
36% (29/80)	45% (55/121)
Total Points Won
47% (95/201)	53% (106/201)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)	79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)	33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)	55% (16/29)

Chances of winning

Mackenzie McDonald
45.8%

Francisco Cerundolo
54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mackenzie McDonald have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Francisco Cerundolo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)		1.74 (1.74)	5.7% (6%)

What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 44.1% – 85.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

McDonald is ranked ATP: 109. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 26.
McDonald is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Cerundolo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Cerundolo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches McDonald won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Mackenzie McDonald won against Francisco Cerundolo?

Mackenzie McDonald has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Francisco Cerundolo won against Mackenzie McDonald?

Francisco Cerundolo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo were as follows:

24.10.2023 Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo Canceled

06.10.2023 Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2

01.07.2023 Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo 1:2

Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald

06.03.2025 Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Eliot Spizzirri - Mackenzie McDonald 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Mackenzie McDonald - Kamil Majchrzak 2:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Trevor Svajda - Mackenzie McDonald 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Matteo Gigante - Mackenzie McDonald 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Francisco Cerundolo

01.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Laslo Djere 1:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann 2:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller 0:2 ✺

20.02.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Kecmanovic M.	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
3	Marozsan F.	Martinez P.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)
5	Machac T. (19)	Bye
6	Bublik A.	Watanuki Y. (Q)	1 : 2
7	Bautista-Agut R.	Dzumhur D. (Q)	1 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (12)	Bye
10	Moutet C.	Thompson J.	2 : 1
11	Munar J.	Nishikori K.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Humbert U. (18)
13	Berrettini M. (28)	Bye
14	Carballes Baena R.	O'Connell C.	1 : 2
15	Seyboth Wild T.	Muller A.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (8)
17	Ruud C. (4)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Bergs Z.	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
20	Bye	Popyrin A. (26)
21	Fils A. (20)	Bye
22	Zhang Z.	Diallo G. (LL)	1 : 2
23	Safiullin R.	Opelka R. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Musetti L. (15)
25	Paul T. (10)	Bye
26	Boyer T. (WC)	Vukic A.	2 : 1
27	Norrie C.	Nardi L.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (23)
29	Michelsen A. (31)	Bye
30	Smith C. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
31	Bu Y.	Basavareddy N. (WC)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Medvedev D. (5)
33	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
35	Shevchenko A.	Hijikata R.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Nakashima B. (32)
37	Khachanov K. (22)	Bye
38	Etcheverry T. M.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
39	Navone M.	Tien L.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Shelton B. (11)
41	Draper J. (13)	Bye
42	Fearnley J.	Fonseca J. (WC)	1 : 2
43	Bonzi B.	Brooksby J. (PR)	1 : 2
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (17)
45	Tabilo A. (30)	Bye
46	Tu L. (Q)	Lajovic D.	0 : 2
47	Gigante M. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Fritz T. (3)
49	Djokovic N. (6)	Bye
50	Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)	Kyrgios N. (RET.) (PR)	1 : 0
51	McDonald M. (WC)	Davidovich Fokina A.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Cerundolo F. (25)
53	Hurkacz H. (21)	Bye
54	Darderi L.	Gaston H. (Q)	0 : 2
55	Goffin D.	Sonego L.	2 : 0
56	Bye	De Minaur A. (9)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Rinderknech A.	Borges N.	1 : 2
59	Struff J-L.	Monfils G.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Korda S. (24)
61	Shapovalov D. (27)	Bye
62	Zeppieri G. (Q)	Walton A. (Q)	0 : 2
63	Halys Q.	Carreno-Busta P. (Q)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
2	Marozsan F. (RET.)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)	0 : 1
3	Machac T. (RET.) (19)	Watanuki Y.	1 : 0
4	Dzumhur D.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (12)	Moutet C.	2 : 0
6	Nishikori K.	Humbert U. (18)	0 : 2
7	Berrettini M. (28)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
8	Seyboth Wild T.	Tsitsipas S. (8)	0 : 2
9	Ruud C. (4)	Giron M.	1 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Popyrin A. (26)	0 : 2
11	Fils A. (20)	Diallo G.	2 : 0
12	Safiullin R.	Musetti L. (15)	1 : 2
13	Paul T. (10)	Boyer T.	2 : 0
14	Norrie C.	Lehecka J. (23)	2 : 1
15	Michelsen A. (31)	Smith C.	2 : 0
16	Bu Y.	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
17	Rublev A. (7)	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
18	Hijikata R.	Nakashima B. (32)	0 : 2
19	Khachanov K. (22)	Mensik J.	2 : 1
20	Navone M.	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
21	Draper J. (13)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
22	Brooksby J.	Auger-Aliassime F. (17)	2 : 0
23	Tabilo A. (30)	Lajovic D.	2 : 0
24	Gigante M.	Fritz T. (3)	0 : 2
25	Djokovic N. (6)	Van De Zandschulp B.	1 : 2
26	McDonald M.	Cerundolo F. (25)	1 : 2
27	Hurkacz H. (21)	Gaston H.	2 : 0
28	Goffin D.	De Minaur A. (9)	0 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Borges N.	2 : 0
30	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	2 : 0
31	Shapovalov D. (27)	Walton A.	2 : 0
32	Halys Q.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)	2 : 0
2	Watanuki Y.	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 0
3	Rune H. (12)	Humbert U. (18)	2 : 1
4	Berrettini M. (28)	Tsitsipas S. (8)	0 : 2
5	Giron M.	Popyrin A. (26)	2 : 1
6	Fils A. (20)	Musetti L. (15)	2 : 1
7	Paul T. (10)	Norrie C.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A. (RET.) (31)	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 0
9	Arnaldi M.	Nakashima B. (32)	0 : 2
10	Khachanov K. (22)	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
11	Draper J. (13)	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
12	Tabilo A. (30)	Fritz T. (3)	1 : 2
13	Van De Zandschulp B.	Cerundolo F. (25)	0 : 2
14	Hurkacz H. (21)	De Minaur A. (9)	0 : 2
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Monfils G.	2 : 1
16	Shapovalov D. (27)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Watanuki Y.	2 : 0
2	Rune H. (12)	Tsitsipas S. (8)	2 : 0
3	Giron M.	Fils A. (20)	1 : 2
4	Paul T. (10)	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
5	Nakashima B. (32)	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
6	Draper J. (13)	Fritz T. (3)	2 : 0
7	Cerundolo F. (25)	De Minaur A. (9)	2 : 0
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Rune H. (12)	1 : 2
2	Fils A. (20)	Medvedev D. (5)	1 : 2
3	Shelton B. (11)	Draper J. (13)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (25)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Rune H. (12)	Medvedev D. (5)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (13)	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Rune H. (12)

Draper J. (13)

0 : 2