Mackenzie McDonald vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Montreal Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
1:2
07/08/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
70%47%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (35/59)68% (32/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (11/25)47% (25/53)
Break Points Saved
33% (3/9)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
47% (22/47)41% (24/59)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (28/53)56% (14/25)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)67% (6/9)
Winners
2134
Unforced Errors
2116
Net Points Won
51% (19/37)76% (22/29)
Max Points In Row
87
Service Points Won
56% (46/82)57% (56/99)
Return Points Won
43% (43/99)44% (36/82)
Total Points Won
49% (89/181)51% (92/181)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
48.6%
Matteo Arnaldi
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.81)

    1.85
    (1.85)
    4.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 93. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 46.
    • Recent matches McDonald is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arnaldi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Coric B. (Q)Martinez P.2 : 0
    3Sonego L.Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    4Tiafoe F.Tabilo A. (15)0 : 2
    5Paul T. (10)Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Shapovalov D. (WC)Nakashima B. (Q)0 : 2
    7Etcheverry T. M.Jarry N.2 : 1
    8ByeRublev A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (3)Bye
    10Davidovich Fokina A.Safiullin R.2 : 0
    11McDonald M. (Q)Arnaldi M.1 : 2
    12Diallo G. (WC)Khachanov K. (16)0 : 2
    13Humbert U. (12)Fils A.2 : 0
    14Borges N.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    15Michelsen A.Nishikori K. (PR)1 : 2
    16ByeTsitsipas S. (8)
    17Dimitrov G. (7)Bye
    18Hijikata R. (Q)Daniel T. (Q)2 : 0
    19Popyrin A.Machac T.2 : 0
    20Bublik A.Shelton B. (11)0 : 2
    21Auger-Aliassime F. (14)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    22Mannarino A.Rinderknech A. (Q)1 : 2
    23Kokkinakis T. (Q)Monfils G.2 : 0
    24ByeHurkacz H. (4)
    25Ruud C. (6)Bye
    26Duckworth J. (LL)Giron M.2 : 0
    27Korda S.Pospisil V. (RET.) (WC)0 : 0
    28Navone M.Fritz T. (9)0 : 2
    29Rune H. (13)Bautista-Agut R. (LL)2 : 1
    30Marozsan F.Carreno-Busta P. (PR)1 : 2
    31Thompson J.Draper J.2 : 0
    32ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Coric B.2 : 0
    2Sonego L.Tabilo A. (15)0 : 2
    3Paul T. (10)Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Arnaldi M.Khachanov K. (16)2 : 0
    7Humbert U. (12)Borges N.1 : 2
    8Nishikori K.Tsitsipas S. (8)2 : 0
    9Dimitrov G. (7)Hijikata R.2 : 0
    10Popyrin A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 0
    11Cobolli F.Rinderknech A.0 : 2
    12Kokkinakis T.Hurkacz H. (4)1 : 2
    13Ruud C. (6)Duckworth J.2 : 1
    14Korda S.Fritz T. (9)2 : 0
    15Rune H. (13)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    16Thompson J.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Tabilo A. (15)2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.)Arnaldi M.1 : 1
    4Borges N.Nishikori K.0 : 2
    5Dimitrov G. (7)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    6Rinderknech A.Hurkacz H. (4)1 : 2
    7Ruud C. (6)Korda S. (WO.)
    8Rune H. (13)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Rublev A. (5)1 : 2
    2Arnaldi M.Nishikori K.2 : 0
    3Popyrin A.Hurkacz H. (4)2 : 1
    4Korda S.Zverev A. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    2Popyrin A.Korda S.2 : 0

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Popyrin A.0 : 2