Mackenzie McDonald vs Rei Sakamoto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Shanghai Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto
Result
0:2
30/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
29
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
78%73%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (25/35)92% (35/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (7/10)50% (7/14)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
21% (8/38)29% (10/35)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (7/14)30% (3/10)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)50% (2/4)
Winners
108
Unforced Errors
47
Net Points Won
50% (3/6)54% (7/13)
Service Points Won
71% (32/45)80% (41/51)
Return Points Won
20% (10/51)29% (13/45)
Total Points Won
44% (42/96)56% (54/96)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
63%
Rei Sakamoto
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.6)

    2.53
    (2.28)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto?
  • Users Predictions: Mackenzie McDonald will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 96. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 190.
    • McDonald is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sakamoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • McDonald is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)
    7Wu Y. (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.
    12ByeTsitsipas S. (24)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T.
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H.
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Norrie C. (30)
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Medvedev D. (16)
    5Khachanov K. (9)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Tsitsipas S. (24)
    7Nakashima B. (29)TBD #14
    8TBD #15De Minaur A. (7)
    9Zverev A. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Michelsen A. (28)
    11Shapovalov D. (23)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Lehecka J. (15)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Mensik J. (17)
    15Darderi L. (26)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Musetti L. (8)
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.
    18TBD #35Diallo G. (31)
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (11)
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)
    31Griekspoor T. (27)TBD #62
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2