Result
2:0
29/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (25/33) | 80% (33/41) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 24% (7/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 20% (8/41) | 24% (8/33) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 76% (22/29) | 42% (10/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 25% (1/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (39/57) | 57% (40/70) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 32% (18/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (69/127) | 46% (58/127) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Mackenzie McDonald
62% | Roberto Carballes Baena
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.37) |
|
2.45 ↓
(2.87) |
7.2%
(8%) | |
Preview Facts
- McDonald is ranked ATP: 113. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 147.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- McDonald could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Mackenzie McDonald won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Mackenzie McDonald has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Mackenzie McDonald?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kovacevic A. (1) | Tabur C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Arnaboldi F. (Q) | Droguet T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Molcan A. | Added D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Shevchenko A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (3) | Bouquier A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Lokoli L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Martin D. (LL) | Harris B. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Paire B. (WC) | Bonzi B. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Basilashvili N. (6) | Ghazouani Durand Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Martineau M. (Q) | Faurel T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kasnikowski M. (Q) | Engel J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Huesler M. | Halys Q. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | McDonald M. (8) | Echargui M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Carballes Baena R. | Geerts M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Lajal M. | Kotov P. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Mannarino A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kovacevic A. (1) | Droguet T. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Molcan A. | van Assche L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (3) | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Harris B. | Bonzi B. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Basilashvili N. (6) | Faurel T. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Engel J. | Huesler M. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | McDonald M. (8) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kotov P. | Bertola R. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Droguet T. | van Assche L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Bonzi B. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Faurel T. | Huesler M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | McDonald M. (RET.) (8) | Bertola R. | 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | van Assche L. | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Huesler M. | Bertola R. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | van Assche L. | Bertola R. | 2 : 1 |
