Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Indian Wells Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys
Result
2:0
14/03/2025 at 21:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilESPN 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 7
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
70%75%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (20/28)40% (12/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
75% (9/12)40% (4/10)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)17% (1/6)
1st Return Points Won
60% (18/30)29% (8/28)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (6/10)25% (3/12)
Break Points Converted
83% (5/6)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
73% (29/40)40% (16/40)
Return Points Won
60% (24/40)28% (11/40)
Total Points Won
66% (53/80)34% (27/80)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (7/7)17% (1/6)
Return Games Won
83% (5/6)0% (0/7)
Total Games Won
92% (12/13)8% (1/13)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
61.4%
Madison Keys
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.48)

    2.44
    (2.5)
    5.6%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Keys will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 44.1%85.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Keys is ranked WTA: 5.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 3.
    • Sabalenka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Keys in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Sabalenka will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 1:2
    02.10.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 2:0
    07.09.2023 Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka 1:2
    12.07.2023 Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Blinkova A.Kessler M.0 : 2
    3Kalinina A.Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    4ByeFrech M. (30)
    5Alexandrova E. (20)Bye
    6Liu C. (Q)Kudermetova P.0 : 2
    7Kartal S. (LL)Lepchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    8ByeHaddad Maia B. (16)
    9Kasatkina D. (12)Bye
    10Inglis M.Kenin S.0 : 2
    11Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q)McNally C.0 : 1
    12ByeSamsonova L. (24)
    13Fernandez L. (27)Bye
    14Kudermetova V.Cristian J.0 : 2
    15Jovic I. (WC)Grabher J.2 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Gauff C. (3)Bye
    18Raducanu E.Uchijima M.0 : 2
    19Danilovic O.Tomova V.0 : 2
    20ByeSakkari M. (29)
    21Anisimova A. (17)Bye
    22Bencic B. (WC)Maria T.2 : 0
    23Parks A. (WC)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    24ByeShnaider D. (13)
    25Navarro E. (10)Bye
    26Cirstea S.Joint M. (Q)2 : 0
    27Davis L.Avanesyan E.0 : 2
    28ByeVekic D. (19)
    29Mertens E. (28)Bye
    30Golubic V. (Q)Birrell K. (Q)0 : 2
    31Bouzas Maneiro J.Potapova A.1 : 2
    32ByeKeys M. (5)
    33Rybakina E. (7)Bye
    34Bouzkova M.Lamens S.1 : 2
    35Begu I.Li A.2 : 1
    36ByeBoulter K. (25)
    37Tauson C. (22)Bye
    38Osorio C.Osaka N.2 : 0
    39Kvitova P. (WC)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    40ByeAndreeva M. (9)
    41Collins D. (14)Bye
    42Baptiste H. (Q)Osuigwe W. (Q)2 : 0
    43Krueger A.Volynets K.2 : 1
    44ByeSvitolina E. (23)
    45Ostapenko J. (26)Bye
    46Sherif M.Wang Xin.0 : 2
    47Stearns P.Linette M.1 : 2
    48ByePegula J. (4)
    49Zheng Q. (8)Bye
    50Ngounoue C. (Q)Azarenka V.0 : 2
    51Sramkova R.Sun L.1 : 2
    52ByeNoskova L. (31)
    53Kostyuk M. (18)Bye
    54Niemeier J. (Q)Montgomery R. (WC)1 : 2
    55Rakhimova K.Dolehide C. (WC)0 : 2
    56ByeLys E. (LL)
    57Muchova K. (15)Bye
    58Zarazua R. (RET.)Cocciaretto E.0 : 1
    59Carle M. L. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    60ByePutintseva Y. (21)
    61Jabeur O. (32)Bye
    62Yastremska D.Yuan Y.2 : 0
    63Garcia C.Pera B. (WC)2 : 0
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kessler M.2 : 0
    2Bronzetti L.Frech M. (30)2 : 0
    3Alexandrova E. (20)Kudermetova P.0 : 2
    4Kartal S.Haddad Maia B. (16)2 : 0
    5Kasatkina D. (12)Kenin S.2 : 1
    6McNally C.Samsonova L. (24)0 : 2
    7Fernandez L. (27)Cristian J.1 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (6)1 : 2
    9Gauff C. (3)Uchijima M.2 : 1
    10Tomova V.Sakkari M. (29)0 : 2
    11Anisimova A. (17)Bencic B.1 : 2
    12Parks A.Shnaider D. (13)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (10)Cirstea S.2 : 1
    14Avanesyan E.Vekic D. (19)0 : 2
    15Mertens E. (28)Birrell K.2 : 0
    16Potapova A.Keys M. (5)0 : 2
    17Rybakina E. (7)Lamens S.2 : 0
    18Begu I.Boulter K. (25)1 : 2
    19Tauson C. (22)Osorio C.2 : 0
    20Gracheva V.Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    21Collins D. (14)Baptiste H.2 : 1
    22Krueger A.Svitolina E. (23)1 : 2
    23Ostapenko J. (26)Wang Xin.0 : 2
    24Linette M.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    25Zheng Q. (8)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    26Sun L.Noskova L. (31)2 : 0
    27Kostyuk M. (18)Montgomery R.2 : 0
    28Dolehide C.Lys E.2 : 0
    29Muchova K. (15)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    30Siniakova K.Putintseva Y. (21)2 : 0
    31Jabeur O. (32)Yastremska D.0 : 2
    32Garcia C.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    2Kudermetova P.Kartal S.0 : 2
    3Kasatkina D. (12)Samsonova L. (24)1 : 2
    4Cristian J.Paolini J. (6)1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Sakkari M. (29)2 : 0
    6Bencic B.Shnaider D. (13)2 : 0
    7Navarro E. (10)Vekic D. (19)0 : 2
    8Mertens E. (28)Keys M. (5)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (7)Boulter K. (25)2 : 0
    10Tauson C. (22)Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    11Collins D. (14)Svitolina E. (23)0 : 2
    12Wang Xin.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Zheng Q. (8)Sun L.2 : 0
    14Kostyuk M. (18)Dolehide C.2 : 0
    15Muchova K. (15)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    16Yastremska D.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kartal S.2 : 0
    2Samsonova L. (24)Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (3)Bencic B.1 : 2
    4Vekic D. (19)Keys M. (5)1 : 2
    5Rybakina E. (7)Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    6Svitolina E. (23)Pegula J. (4)2 : 1
    7Zheng Q. (8)Kostyuk M. (18)2 : 0
    8Muchova K. (15)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Samsonova L. (24)2 : 0
    2Bencic B.Keys M. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (9)Svitolina E. (23)2 : 0
    4Zheng Q. (8)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Keys M. (5)2 : 0
    2Andreeva M. (9)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Andreeva M. (9)1 : 2