Result
2:0
14/03/2025 at 21:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | ESPN 3 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 7 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 75% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 40% (12/30) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 40% (4/10) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 17% (1/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (18/30) | 29% (8/28) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 25% (3/12) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 0% (0/1) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (29/40) | 40% (16/40) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 28% (11/40) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (53/80) | 34% (27/80) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 17% (1/6) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 0% (0/7) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 8% (1/13) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
61.4% | Madison Keys
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.48) |
|
2.44 ↓
(2.5) |
5.6%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Keys will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 44.1% – 85.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Keys is ranked WTA: 5.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 3.
- Sabalenka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Keys in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Sabalenka will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Madison Keys?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Madison Keys won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Madison Keys has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys were as follows:
25.01.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Madison Keys
1:2
02.10.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Madison Keys
2:0
07.09.2023
Madison Keys
-
Aryna Sabalenka
1:2
12.07.2023
Madison Keys
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Madison Keys
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Blinkova A. | Kessler M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kalinina A. | Bronzetti L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Frech M. (30) | |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (20) | Bye | |
| 6 | Liu C. (Q) | Kudermetova P. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Kartal S. (LL) | Lepchenko V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (16) | |
| 9 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Inglis M. | Kenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q) | McNally C. | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Samsonova L. (24) | |
| 13 | Fernandez L. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Kudermetova V. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Jovic I. (WC) | Grabher J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (6) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Raducanu E. | Uchijima M. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Danilovic O. | Tomova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Sakkari M. (29) | |
| 21 | Anisimova A. (17) | Bye | |
| 22 | Bencic B. (WC) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Parks A. (WC) | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Shnaider D. (13) | |
| 25 | Navarro E. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cirstea S. | Joint M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Davis L. | Avanesyan E. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Vekic D. (19) | |
| 29 | Mertens E. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Golubic V. (Q) | Birrell K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Keys M. (5) | |
| 33 | Rybakina E. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Bouzkova M. | Lamens S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Begu I. | Li A. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Boulter K. (25) | |
| 37 | Tauson C. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Osorio C. | Osaka N. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Kvitova P. (WC) | Gracheva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Andreeva M. (9) | |
| 41 | Collins D. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Baptiste H. (Q) | Osuigwe W. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 43 | Krueger A. | Volynets K. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Svitolina E. (23) | |
| 45 | Ostapenko J. (26) | Bye | |
| 46 | Sherif M. | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Stearns P. | Linette M. | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (4) | |
| 49 | Zheng Q. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Ngounoue C. (Q) | Azarenka V. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Sramkova R. | Sun L. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Noskova L. (31) | |
| 53 | Kostyuk M. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Niemeier J. (Q) | Montgomery R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 55 | Rakhimova K. | Dolehide C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Lys E. (LL) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Zarazua R. (RET.) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 1 |
| 59 | Carle M. L. (Q) | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Putintseva Y. (21) | |
| 61 | Jabeur O. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Yastremska D. | Yuan Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Garcia C. | Pera B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bronzetti L. | Frech M. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. (20) | Kudermetova P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kartal S. | Haddad Maia B. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | McNally C. | Samsonova L. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Fernandez L. (27) | Cristian J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Jovic I. | Paolini J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Uchijima M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Tomova V. | Sakkari M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Anisimova A. (17) | Bencic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Parks A. | Shnaider D. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Navarro E. (10) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Avanesyan E. | Vekic D. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Mertens E. (28) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Potapova A. | Keys M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Rybakina E. (7) | Lamens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Begu I. | Boulter K. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Tauson C. (22) | Osorio C. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Gracheva V. | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Collins D. (14) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Krueger A. | Svitolina E. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Ostapenko J. (26) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Linette M. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Zheng Q. (8) | Azarenka V. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Sun L. | Noskova L. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Kostyuk M. (18) | Montgomery R. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Dolehide C. | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (15) | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Siniakova K. | Putintseva Y. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Jabeur O. (32) | Yastremska D. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Garcia C. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bronzetti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kudermetova P. | Kartal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Samsonova L. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Cristian J. | Paolini J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Sakkari M. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bencic B. | Shnaider D. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (10) | Vekic D. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Mertens E. (28) | Keys M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (7) | Boulter K. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tauson C. (22) | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Collins D. (14) | Svitolina E. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Wang Xin. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zheng Q. (8) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kostyuk M. (18) | Dolehide C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (15) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Yastremska D. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Samsonova L. (24) | Paolini J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (3) | Bencic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Vekic D. (19) | Keys M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (7) | Andreeva M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Svitolina E. (23) | Pegula J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Zheng Q. (8) | Kostyuk M. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Muchova K. (15) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Samsonova L. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bencic B. | Keys M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (9) | Svitolina E. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Zheng Q. (8) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Keys M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (9) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Andreeva M. (9) | 1 : 2 |
