Madison Keys vs Caty McNally – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Montreal Madison Keys - Caty McNally
Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
77
1st Serve Percentage
68%68%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (42/63)66% (44/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (13/29)38% (12/32)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
34% (23/67)35% (22/63)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (20/32)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
60% (55/91)56% (56/100)
Return Points Won
44% (44/100)40% (36/91)
Total Points Won
52% (99/191)48% (92/191)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
54% (14/26)46% (12/26)

Chances of winning


Madison Keys
73.7%
Caty McNally
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madison Keys that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caty McNally could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Madison Keys - Caty McNally Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.31)

    3.6
    (3.46)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Madison Keys - Caty McNally?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). McNally will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Keys (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Keys is ranked WTA: 8. McNally is ranked WTA: 116.
    • Keys has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • McNally is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • McNally may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Keys is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Latest results of Caty McNally
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Bye
    2Collins D.Tomova V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Bucsa C. (Q)Kudermetova V.1 : 2
    4ByeDanilovic O. (29)
    5Kenin S. (23)Bye
    6Birrell K.Mboko V. (WC)0 : 2
    7Uchijima M.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (14)
    9Alexandrova E. (12)Bye
    10Zhu L.Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    11Lamens S.Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    12ByeHaddad Maia B. (18)
    13Krueger A. (26)Bye
    14Chirico L. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    15Volynets K. (Q)Ito A. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Andreeva M. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    19Joint M.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    20ByeKessler M. (28)
    21Kostyuk M. (24)Bye
    22Vondrousova M.Eala A.2 : 1
    23Dolehide C.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    24ByeKasatkina D. (15)
    25Rybakina E. (9)Bye
    26Osuigwe W. (Q)Baptiste H.0 : 2
    27Cristian J.Stakusic M. (WC)2 : 1
    28ByeNoskova L. (20)
    29Yastremska D. (30)Bye
    30Pera B. (Q)Osorio C.0 : 2
    31Jacquemot E. (Q)Marino R. (WC)0 : 2
    32ByeNavarro E. (8)
    33Anisimova A. (5)Bye
    34Cirstea S.Sun L.0 : 2
    35Ruse G.Raducanu E.0 : 2
    36ByeStearns P. (32)
    37Mertens E. (19)Bye
    38Li A.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    39Rakhimova K. (Q)Cross K.2 : 1
    40ByeSvitolina E. (10)
    41Samsonova L. (13)Bye
    42Arseneault A. (Q)Osaka N.0 : 2
    43Boulter K.Zarazua R.0 : 2
    44ByeOstapenko J. (22)
    45Linette M. (25)Bye
    46Tomljanovic A.Sevastova A.1 : 2
    47Sakkari M.Branstine C. (WC)2 : 1
    48ByePegula J. (3)
    49Keys M. (6)Bye
    50Maria T.Siegemund L. (Q)1 : 2
    51Parks A.McNally C.1 : 2
    52ByeSramkova R. (31)
    53Bencic B. (17)Bye
    54Bouchard E. (WC)Arango E.2 : 1
    55Ruzic A. (Q)Potapova A.2 : 1
    56ByeMuchova K. (11)
    57Tauson C. (16)Bye
    58Mandlik E. (WC)Bronzetti L.1 : 2
    59Wang Y. (Q)Starodubtseva Y.1 : 2
    60ByeFrech M. (21)
    61Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Bye
    62Lys E.Jeanjean L. (Q)2 : 0
    63Putintseva Y.Guo H. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Collins D.2 : 1
    2Kudermetova V.Danilovic O. (29)2 : 0
    3Kenin S. (23)Mboko V.0 : 2
    4Bouzkova M.Shnaider D. (14)2 : 0
    5Alexandrova E. (12)Zhu L.1 : 2
    6Lamens S.Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 1
    7Krueger A. (26)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    8Ito A.Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    9Andreeva M. (WO.) (4)Andreescu B.
    10Joint M.Kessler M. (28)1 : 2
    11Kostyuk M. (24)Vondrousova M.2 : 1
    12Blinkova A.Kasatkina D. (15)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (9)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    14Cristian J.Noskova L. (20)2 : 0
    15Yastremska D. (30)Osorio C.2 : 1
    16Marino R.Navarro E. (8)0 : 2
    17Anisimova A. (5)Sun L.2 : 0
    18Raducanu E.Stearns P. (32)2 : 0
    19Mertens E. (19)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    20Rakhimova K.Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    21Samsonova L. (13)Osaka N.1 : 2
    22Zarazua R.Ostapenko J. (22)1 : 2
    23Linette M. (25)Sevastova A.1 : 2
    24Sakkari M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (6)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    26McNally C.Sramkova R. (31)2 : 0
    27Bencic B. (17)Bouchard E.2 : 1
    28Ruzic A.Muchova K. (11)0 : 2
    29Tauson C. (16)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    30Starodubtseva Y.Frech M. (21)2 : 0
    31Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Lys E.0 : 2
    32Guo H.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    2Mboko V.Bouzkova M.2 : 1
    3Zhu L.Lamens S.2 : 0
    4Bouzas Maneiro J.Ito A.2 : 1
    5Andreeva M. (4)Kessler M. (28)0 : 2
    6Kostyuk M. (24)Kasatkina D. (15)2 : 1
    7Rybakina E. (9)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Yastremska D. (30)Navarro E. (8)2 : 0
    9Anisimova A. (5)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    10Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    11Osaka N.Ostapenko J. (22)2 : 0
    12Sevastova A.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    13Keys M. (6)McNally C.2 : 1
    14Bencic B. (17)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    15Tauson C. (16)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    16Lys E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Mboko V.
    2Zhu L.Bouzas Maneiro J.
    3Kessler M. (28)Kostyuk M. (24)
    4Rybakina E. (9)Yastremska D. (30)
    5Anisimova A. (5)Svitolina E. (10)
    6Osaka N.Sevastova A.
    7Keys M. (6)Muchova K. (11)
    8Tauson C. (16)Swiatek I. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2