Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison Keys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Adelaide Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys
Result
1:2
08/01/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Adelaide (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
38
Double Faults
71
1st Serve Percentage
52%57%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (30/53)59% (32/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (20/48)53% (21/40)
Break Points Saved
50% (7/14)65% (11/17)
1st Return Points Won
41% (22/54)45% (24/53)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (19/40)58% (28/48)
Break Points Converted
35% (6/17)50% (7/14)
Service Points Won
50% (50/101)56% (53/94)
Return Points Won
44% (41/94)50% (51/101)
Total Points Won
47% (91/195)53% (104/195)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (7/14)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)50% (7/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Jelena Ostapenko
27.8%
Madison Keys
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelena Ostapenko's form might have worsened.
  • Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Keys's recent form is better than expected.
  • Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (2.73)

    1.32
    (1.38)
    5.3%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys?
  • Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 17. Keys is ranked WTA: 20.
    • Keys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Keys is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys were as follows:
    14.02.2023 Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko 0:2
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Noskova L.Sakkari M. (LL)0 : 2
    3Kostyuk M.Krueger A. (LL)1 : 2
    4Stearns P. (Q)Badosa P. (5)1 : 2
    5Collins D. (4)Jabeur O. (WC)0 : 2
    6Vekic D.Putintseva Y.0 : 2
    7Pavlyuchenkova A.Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    8Siniakova K. (Q)Shnaider D. (6)1 : 2
    9Ostapenko J. (8)Frech M.2 : 1
    10Haddad Maia B.Keys M.0 : 2
    11Wang Xin. (Q)Jones E. (WC)0 : 2
    12Gadecki O. (WC)Kasatkina D. (3)0 : 2
    13Kalinskaya A. (RET.) (7)Bencic B. (Q)0 : 1
    14Bouzkova M. (Q)Samsonova L.1 : 2
    15Fernandez L. (Q)Alexandrova E.1 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    2Krueger A.Badosa P. (5)2 : 1
    3Jabeur O.Putintseva Y.0 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Shnaider D. (6)1 : 0
    5Ostapenko J. (8)Keys M.1 : 2
    6Jones E.Kasatkina D. (3)0 : 2
    7Bencic B.Samsonova L.1 : 2
    8Alexandrova E.Navarro E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Krueger A. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Putintseva Y.Shnaider D. (6)2 : 1
    3Keys M.Kasatkina D. (3)2 : 0
    4Samsonova L.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    2Keys M.Samsonova L. (RET.)1 : 1

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Keys M.1 : 2