Semen Padang vs Madura United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Indonesian Liga 1 Semen Padang - Madura United
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaIndosiar, K-Vision, Vidio

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
53
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
82% (377/459)78% (277/357)
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
53
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
82% (377/459)78% (277/357)
Fouls
712
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Ariansyah R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Abdillah H. , Irfan A. ,
  • 46', Mila I. , Chaby F. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Stewart C. , Gomes B. (A),
  • 57', Skrbic M. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Wehrmann J. , Skrbic M. (A),
  • 64', Juliansyah F. , Pagamo G. ,
  • 72', Skrbic M. , Ezzejjari Y. ,
  • 80', Angulo B. , Afrisal R. ,
  • 80', Muslihuddin T. , Iran Junior ,
  • 81', Djin D. A. , Ridwan M. ,
  • 89', Wehrmann J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Ridwan M. , Martic T. (A),
  • 90+2', Chaby F. , Kim Min-Kyu ,
  • 90+4', Sanjaya I. , Samosir S. ,

Chances of winning


Semen Padang
43.7%
Draw
27.8%
Madura United
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 29.1% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Semen Padang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Semen Padang's performance.
  • Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madura United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Semen Padang that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madura United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Semen Padang - Madura United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.56)
    3.34
    (3.17)
    3.26
    (2.64)
    7.7%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Madura United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Semen Padang - Madura United were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Madura United - Semen Padang 0:1
    Latest results of Semen Padang
    Latest results of Madura United
    Indonesian Liga 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Persib Bandung341912360:332769
    2Dewa United341710765:333261
    3Malut United341512748:331557
    4Persebaya341511841:38356
    5Borneo341681050:381256
    6PSM Makassar341314747:341353
    7Persija Jakarta341491147:38951
    8Bali United341481250:41950
    9PSBS Biak Numfor341391244:47-348
    10Arema FC341381353:51247
    11Persita341271532:43-1143
    12Persik Kediri3410111340:42-241
    13Semen Padang34991638:60-2236
    14Persis Solo34991634:46-1236
    15Madura United341061836:58-2236
    16PSS Sleman341141943:50-734
    17Barito Putera348101642:57-1534
    18PSIS Semarang34672129:57-2825

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