Madureira vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:8
02/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.052.65
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
225
Shots on target
111
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
011
Passes
83% (278/335)92% (512/556)
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.052.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.023.45
Total shots
225
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
19
Blocked shots
05
Shots inside the box
017
Shots outside the box
28
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
011
Touches in opposition box
152
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free kicks
208
Passes
83% (278/335)92% (512/556)
Long passes
35% (14/40)79% (26/33)
Passes in final third
62% (18/29)87% (199/229)
Crosses
0% (0/2)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.033.24
Throw ins
315
Fouls
820
Tackles
82% (9/11)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
356
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
40
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
3.450.02
Goals prevented
-3.550.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Lucas Paqueta , Carrascal J. (A),
  • 8', Neguete 🟨,
  • 11', Matheus Juliao , Julio Cesar ,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Lucas Paqueta , Carrascal J. (A),
  • 30', Wallace Camilo 🟥,
  • 33', 0 - 3, Jean (Own goal),
  • 45', 0 - 4, Pedro ,
  • 45+3', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Geovane Maranhao , Fashanu M. ,
  • 46', Jaco , Fuba ,
  • 48', 0 - 5, Pedro , Emerson Royal (A),
  • 49', 0 - 6, Pedro ,
  • 57', de la Cruz N. , Mariano L. ,
  • 57', Carrascal J. , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 62', Adriano , Wendel Lessa ,
  • 67', 0 - 7, Pedro ,
  • 68', Everton , Samuel Lino ,
  • 77', Rodrigo Lindoso , Arthur ,
  • 85', Leo Ortiz , Daniel Carvalho ,
  • 85', Evertton Araujo , Wallace Yan ,
  • 88', 0 - 8, Samuel Lino , Pedro (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Madureira
7%
Draw
17.5%
Flamengo
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
8.4% 16.8% 74.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Madureira - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    13.24
    (11)
    5.29
    (5.5)
    1.22
    (1.24)
    8.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Madureira - Flamengo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Flamengo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Flamengo (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 0.
    • Madureira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Flamengo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 4:30. (average 0.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Madureira won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madureira - Flamengo were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Flamengo - Madureira 3:0
    16.01.2025 Madureira - Flamengo 1:1
    02.03.2024 Flamengo - Madureira 3:0
    18.01.2023 Madureira - Flamengo 0:0
    Latest results of Madureira
    25.02.2026 Madureira - ABC 1:0
    22.02.2026 Flamengo - Madureira 3:0
    18.02.2026 Baré - Madureira 0:3
    13.02.2026 Madureira - Boavista 2:1
    07.02.2026 Volta Redonda - Madureira 1:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    26.02.2026 Flamengo - Lanús 2:3
    25.02.2026 Flamengo - Mirassol Postponed
    22.02.2026 Flamengo - Madureira 3:0
    19.02.2026 Lanús - Flamengo 1:0
    15.02.2026 Botafogo RJ - Flamengo 1:2
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FluminenseBangu3 : 1
    2VascoVolta Redonda2 : 1
    3Botafogo RJFlamengo RJ1 : 2
    4MadureiraBoavista2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FluminenseVasco1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Flamengo RJMadureira8 : 0, 3 : 0

    Final
    1FluminenseFlamengo RJ