Result
0:2
26/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/402) | 72% (179/250) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/402) | 72% (179/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (12/35) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/104) | 53% (34/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Leo Cruz 🟨,
- 16', Leo Cruz ↓, Henrique C. ↑,
- 27', Marcao 🟨,
- 31', Vinicius Balotelli 🟨,
- 35', Luis Gustavo 🟨,
- 39', Alex Moretti 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Jaco 🟨,
- 54', Douglas Borges 🟨,
- 56', Jaco ↓, Isaias ↑,
- 59', Luis Gustavo ↓, Alex Reinaldo ↑,
- 59', Albert ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
- 59', Guilherme Silveira ↓, Rhuan Silveira ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Rhuan Silveira ⚽, Anderson Rosa (A),
- 64', Fuba ↓, Wallace Camilo ↑,
- 65', Matheus Juliao ↓, Caua Coutinho ↑,
- 65', Juninho ↓, Hericles ↑,
- 67', Wallace Camilo 🟨,
- 78', Julio Cesar ↓, Geovane Maranhao ↑,
- 79', Anderson Rosa ↓, Willian ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, Chay (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 90+6', Willian 🟨,
Chances of winning
Madureira
41.7% | Draw
31.9% | Portuguesa RJ
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madureira's performance.Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Madureira - Portuguesa RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.66) |
2.91 ↓
(2.96) |
3.52 ↑
(2.75) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Madureira - Portuguesa RJ?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Madureira (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Madureira (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Madureira will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Madureira (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 1.
- Madureira could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Madureira won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Madureira won against Portuguesa RJ?
Madureira has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa RJ won against Madureira?
Portuguesa RJ has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Madureira - Portuguesa RJ were as follows:
19.01.2025
Portuguesa RJ
-
Madureira
2:1
05.02.2024
Madureira
-
Portuguesa RJ
0:0
02.02.2023
Madureira
-
Portuguesa RJ
1:1
Latest results of Madureira
Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 8 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Final
