1 Dezembro vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
59
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
26
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Neves L. 🟨,
  • 9', Harramiz S. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Infante A. ,
  • 37', Raposo C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Raposo C. , Moreira R. ,
  • 46', Neves L. , Pinto R. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Niang M. , Ninte M. (A),
  • 72', Infante A. , Arroyo J. ,
  • 80', Menezes L. , Gomes C. ,
  • 81', Andrey , Goba Zakpa ,
  • 82', Beni D. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 87', Cardoso D. , Karvounis P. ,
  • 87', Harramiz S. , Dias G. ,
  • 90+2', Ninte M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


1 Dezembro
26.3%
Draw
29.7%
Mafra
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 29.6% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 28.7% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • 1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • 1 Dezembro - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.69)
    3.05
    (3.07)
    2.06
    (1.98)
    10.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for 1 Dezembro - Mafra?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, 1 Dezembro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mafra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mafra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between 1 Dezembro - Mafra were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Mafra - 1 Dezembro 3:1
    Latest results of 1 Dezembro
    20.12.2025 1 Dezembro - Atlético CP 0:1
    14.12.2025 1 Dezembro - Caldas 2:0
    06.12.2025 Amora - 1 Dezembro 1:1
    30.11.2025 1 Dezembro - Covilhã 1:1
    Latest results of Mafra
    03.01.2026 Mafra - Caldas 4:2
    20.12.2025 Amora - Mafra 1:2
    13.12.2025 Mafra - Covilhã 2:0
    06.12.2025 Académica Coimbra - Mafra 3:3
    30.11.2025 Mafra - Lusitano GC 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

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