Result
1:2
20/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Niang M. ⚽, Goncalves V. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Goncalves V. ↓, Neves L. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 2, Niang M. ⚽, Neves L. (A),
- 60', 1 - 2, Ribeiro E. ⚽, Furtado E. (A),
- 66', Andrey 🟨,
- 67', Iheanacho S. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 67', Ninte M. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 69', Marques F. ↓, Barros G. ↑,
- 69', Furtado E. ↓, Toni ↑,
- 79', Toni 🟨,
- 82', Andrey ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
- 82', Niang M. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
- 88', Renzo Trotta ↓, Marques J. ↑,
- 88', Ribeiro E. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Amora
31.1% | Draw
29.4% | Mafra
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Amora - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(3.49) |
3.13 ↑
(2.99) |
2.32 ↑
(2.11) |
8.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Amora is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mafra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mafra might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Amora won against Mafra?
Amora has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Amora?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amora - Mafra were as follows:
11.10.2025
Mafra
-
Amora
2:0
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
