Magdalena Frech vs Varvara Gracheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 03:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
96
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
58%62%
1st serve points won
70% (47/67)70% (44/63)
2nd serve points won
45% (22/49)56% (22/39)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)77% (10/13)
1st return points won
30% (19/63)31% (21/67)
2nd return points won
44% (17/39)55% (27/49)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
59% (69/116)64% (66/103)
Return Points Won
36% (37/103)41% (47/116)
Total Points Won
48% (106/219)52% (113/219)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
75% (12/16)81% (13/16)
Return games won
19% (3/16)25% (4/16)
Total games won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Magdalena Frech
43.7%
Varvara Gracheva
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 61.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdalena Frech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)

    1.67
    (1.67)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)
    What is the prediction for Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Gracheva will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Frech: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Frech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gracheva (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Frech is ranked WTA: 59. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 73.
    • Frech has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gracheva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Gracheva will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Frech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva were as follows:
    26.03.2023 Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva 0:2
    Latest results of Magdalena Frech
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Maria T.Birrell K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ruzic A. (LL)Raducanu E.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M. (Q)Zakharova A. (LL)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    6Sonmez Z. (WC)Bejlek S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Siniakova K.Badosa P.0 : 2
    8ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Ostapenko J.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Mertens E.0 : 2
    12Ruse G. (Q)Navarro E. (14)0 : 2
    13Noskova L. (10)Li A.2 : 1
    14Cirstea S.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)Eala A.0 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Sun L. (WC)Linette M.1 : 2
    19Stearns P. (LL)Frech M. (LL)2 : 0
    20Kenin S.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    21Jovic I. (16)Rakhimova K. (LL)2 : 1
    22Shnaider D.Joint M.2 : 0
    23Gracheva V. (Q)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Siegemund L.Kasatkina D.0 : 2
    27Seidel E. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    28Cristian J.Marcinko P. (LL)2 : 0
    29Samsonova L. (13)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    30Yastremska D.Tjen J. (WC)0 : 2
    31Pavlyuchenkova A.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Ruzic A.Zakharova A.2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (WO.) (9)Bejlek S.
    4Badosa P. (RET.)Svitolina E. (7)0 : 1
    5Gauff C. (3)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    6Mertens E.Navarro E. (14)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (10)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    8Eala A.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Linette M.1 : 2
    10Stearns P.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (16)Shnaider D.2 : 1
    12Gracheva V.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)Kasatkina D.
    14Seidel E. (RET.)Cristian J.0 : 1
    15Fernandez L.Tjen J.0 : 2
    16Krejcikova B.Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)Ruzic A.1 : 1
    2Bencic B. (9)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Mertens E.2 : 1
    4Cirstea S.Eala A.0 : 2
    5Linette M.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    6Jovic I. (16)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Tjen J.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruzic A.Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Eala A.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (12)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (5)Anisimova A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svitolina E. (7)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (4)Anisimova A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Svitolina E. (7)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2