Greuther Fürth vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
06/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Sport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.741.58
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
57
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
91
Passes
81% (363/448)75% (264/351)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.741.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.392.25
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
20
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
2720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1713
Passes
81% (363/448)75% (264/351)
Long passes
37% (20/54)45% (38/84)
Passes in final third
66% (78/119)55% (52/95)
Crosses
14% (3/21)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.11
Throw ins
1817
Fouls
1317
Tackles
63% (10/16)50% (11/22)
Duels won
5665
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.252.39
Goals prevented
-1.75-1.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 5)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Bjarnason B. , Keller A. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Munz R. (Own goal),
  • 15', 1 - 2, Zukowski M. , Ulrich L. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 3, Ghrieb R. , Atik B. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 4, Zukowski M. , Atik B. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 5, Zukowski M. , Atik B. (A),
  • 37', Dardari A. , Ziereis P. ,
  • 43', 2 - 5, Arifi D. , Hrgota B. (A),
  • 45+1', Dehm J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Muller T. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 3 - 5, Elvedi J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Muller T. , Breunig M. ,
  • 46', Dehm J. , Futkeu N. ,
  • 47', 4 - 5, Ltaief S. ,
  • 51', Musonda L. 🟨,
  • 60', Musonda L. , Hercher P. ,
  • 78', Arifi D. , Avlayici M. ,
  • 79', Ltaief S. , Varela K. ,
  • 79', Ghrieb R. , Tachie R. ,
  • 88', Atik B. , Bockhorn H. ,
  • 88', Zukowski M. , Gnaka S. ,
  • 89', Bjarnason B. , Srbeny D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Greuther Fürth
22.2%
Draw
23.3%
Magdeburg
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 26.2% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 25.4% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greuther Fürth's form might have worsened.
  • Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magdeburg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greuther Fürth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdeburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.24
    (3)
    4.05
    (3.53)
    1.73
    (2.15)
    6.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 56.1%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Fürth (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Fürth (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fürth (3.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Fürth (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Magdeburg (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Magdeburg is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Ankle Injury) Itter G. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury) Varela K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Dzogovic E. (Injury) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth 4:5
    08.03.2025 Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg 1:1
    06.10.2024 Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth 2:2
    10.05.2024 Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth 0:0
    09.12.2023 Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg 1:1
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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