Result
4:5
06/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/448) | 75% (264/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/448) | 75% (264/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 45% (38/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (78/119) | 55% (52/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.75 | -1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 5)
- 8', 1 - 0, Bjarnason B. ⚽, Keller A. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Munz R. (Own goal),
- 15', 1 - 2, Zukowski M. ⚽, Ulrich L. (A),
- 23', 1 - 3, Ghrieb R. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
- 29', 1 - 4, Zukowski M. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
- 33', 1 - 5, Zukowski M. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
- 37', Dardari A. ↓, Ziereis P. ↑,
- 43', 2 - 5, Arifi D. ⚽, Hrgota B. (A),
- 45+1', Dehm J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Muller T. 🟨,
- 45+5', 3 - 5, Elvedi J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Muller T. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
- 46', Dehm J. ↓, Futkeu N. ↑,
- 47', 4 - 5, Ltaief S. ⚽,
- 51', Musonda L. 🟨,
- 60', Musonda L. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
- 78', Arifi D. ↓, Avlayici M. ↑,
- 79', Ltaief S. ↓, Varela K. ↑,
- 79', Ghrieb R. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
- 88', Atik B. ↓, Bockhorn H. ↑,
- 88', Zukowski M. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
- 89', Bjarnason B. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Greuther Fürth
22.2% | Draw
23.3% | Magdeburg
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greuther Fürth's form might have worsened.Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magdeburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greuther Fürth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdeburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.24 ↑
(3) |
4.05 ↑
(3.53) |
1.73 ↓
(2.15) |
6.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 56.1% – 90.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Fürth (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Fürth (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Fürth (3.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fürth (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Magdeburg (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Magdeburg is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D.
(Muscle Injury)
Banse S.
(Knee Injury)
Green J.
(Ankle Injury)
Itter G.
(Muscle Injury)
John M.
(Muscle Injury)
Konig N.
(Knee Injury)
Varela K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T.
(Inactive)
Dzogovic E.
(Injury)
Hyrylainen L.
(Shin Injury)
Loric S.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Greuther Fürth won against Magdeburg?
Greuther Fürth has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Greuther Fürth?
Magdeburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg were as follows:
31.08.2025
Magdeburg
-
Greuther Fürth
4:5
08.03.2025
Greuther Fürth
-
Magdeburg
1:1
06.10.2024
Magdeburg
-
Greuther Fürth
2:2
10.05.2024
Magdeburg
-
Greuther Fürth
0:0
09.12.2023
Greuther Fürth
-
Magdeburg
1:1
Latest results of Greuther Fürth
Latest results of Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke ✔ | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 67 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 60:36 | 24 | 59 |
| 3 | Hannover | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 56:40 | 16 | 58 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 55:43 | 12 | 58 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 56:42 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 49:47 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 50:60 | -10 | 43 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 41:42 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 42:43 | -1 | 41 |
| 11 | Bochum | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46:45 | 1 | 40 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 32 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 49:56 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34:52 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Dusseldorf | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 30:49 | -19 | 34 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 45:66 | -21 | 34 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga
