Castellanzese vs Magenta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Castellanzese - Magenta
Result
1:3
23/02/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Toldo A. ,
  • 15', 0 - 2, Gatelli L. (Pen),
  • 20', 1 - 2, Chessa M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 3, Toldo A. ,

Chances of winning


Castellanzese
44.8%
Draw
28.5%
Magenta
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 27.5% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 20.2% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Magenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellanzese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magenta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magenta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Castellanzese - Magenta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.85)
    3.2
    (3.3)
    3.41
    (3.88)
    9.7%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Castellanzese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Magenta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Castellanzese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Magenta have a series of home games.
    • In this match Castellanzese is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellanzese - Magenta were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Magenta - Castellanzese 1:0
    Latest results of Castellanzese
    Latest results of Magenta
    16.02.2025 Magenta - Casatese 1:5
    02.02.2025 Magenta - Vigasio 0:1
    29.01.2025 Club Milano - Magenta 2:1
    25.01.2025 Magenta - Crema 0:1
    15.01.2025 Magenta - Ospitaletto 0:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1