Varesina vs Magenta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Varesina - Magenta
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Gasparri M. ,
  • 10', 1 - 1, Lo Monaco M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Varesina
28.3%
Draw
24.1%
Magenta
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 22.9% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 23.7% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varesina's form might have worsened.
  • Magenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magenta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+31.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magenta than the current prediction. (-29.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magenta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varesina - Magenta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (1.56)
    3.81
    (3.96)
    1.93
    (4.8)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Varesina - Magenta?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Varesina will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Magenta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Magenta: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Magenta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Magenta (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Magenta is Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out )
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Varesina is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varesina - Magenta were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Magenta - Varesina 3:1
    Latest results of Varesina
    27.04.2025 Sondrio - Varesina 2:0
    17.04.2025 Varesina - Casatese 2:3
    13.04.2025 Vigasio - Varesina 1:2
    06.04.2025 Varesina - Castellanzese 1:1
    30.03.2025 Crema - Varesina 2:2
    Latest results of Magenta
    27.04.2025 Magenta - SantAngelo 2:0
    17.04.2025 Chievo - Magenta 4:0
    06.04.2025 Breno - Magenta 1:3
    30.03.2025 Magenta - Arconatese 1:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1