San Miguel Beermen vs Magnolia Hotshots – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
101:120
12/04/2026 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Commissioner's Cup

Chances of winning


San Miguel Beermen
58.9%
Magnolia Hotshots
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Miguel Beermen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Magnolia Hotshots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnolia Hotshots than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.69)

    2.3
    (2.07)
    5.8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 196.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel Beermen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - San Miguel Beermen (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: San Miguel Beermen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel Beermen (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 102:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguel Beermen won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Magnolia Hotshots may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that San Miguel Beermen will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Miguel Beermen won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1833:1841. (average 91.7:92.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Miguel Beermen won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 915:917. (average 91.5:91.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots were as follows:
    07.11.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots 94:92
    16.04.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots 95:98
    12.01.2025 Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen 78:85
    26.04.2024 Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen 91:98
    14.02.2024 Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen 102:104
    Latest results of Magnolia Hotshots
    Philippines - Commissioners Cup Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Rain or Shine Elasto Painters9811022:9240.889
    2NLEX Road Warriors972930:8850.778
    3Barangay Ginebra San Miguel972949:8920.778
    4TNT Tropang 5G963944:8950.667
    5Meralco Bolts853840:8110.625
    6Phoenix Fuelmasters954942:9220.556
    7San Miguel Beermen10551036:10600.500
    8Magnolia Hotshots945897:8660.444
    9Converge FiberXers10461017:10190.400
    10Terrafirma Dyip936891:9190.333
    11Titan Ultra Giant Risers927872:9870.222
    12Macau Black Bears10281060:11250.200
    13Blackwater Bossing10281014:11090.200

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