Result
1:1
28/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pernambucano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Italo (Penalty Awarded),
- 7', Italo 🟨,
- 17', Memo ↓, Iago Felipe ↑,
- 22', Erick ↓, Francisco ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pedro Martins ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
- 46', Ze Gabriel ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 59', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Augusto ↑,
- 59', Felipinho ↓, Davi Gabriel ↑,
- 65', Italo 🟨,
- 67', Yago Felipe ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
- 73', Bruno Vinicius ↓, Nathan Silva ↑,
- 73', Julio Cesar ↓, Mayco Felix ↑,
- 73', Francisco ↓, Jalysson ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽,
- 90', Augusto 🟨,
Chances of winning
Maguary
20.2% | Draw
24.6% | Sport Recife
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maguary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maguary than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Recife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maguary - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.52 ↑
(3.63) |
3.71 ↑
(3.36) |
1.66 ↓
(1.92) |
9.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Maguary has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Recife is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maguary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maguary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Maguary won against Sport Recife?
Maguary has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Maguary?
Sport Recife has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maguary - Sport Recife were as follows:
08.02.2025
Sport Recife
-
Maguary
5:0
25.01.2024
Maguary
-
Sport Recife
0:1
11.01.2023
Maguary
-
Sport Recife
1:1
Latest results of Maguary
Latest results of Sport Recife
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nautico | Bye | |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | Decisao | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | Bye | |
| 4 | Retro | Maguary | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nautico | Santa Cruz | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sport Recife | Retro | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final
