Mai Hontama vs Darja Semenistaja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/02/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mumbai, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
51
1st serve percentage
62%68%
1st serve points won
46% (26/57)58% (29/50)
2nd serve points won
49% (17/35)43% (10/23)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)38% (3/8)
1st return points won
42% (21/50)54% (31/57)
2nd return points won
57% (13/23)51% (18/35)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
47% (42/90)53% (39/73)
Return Points Won
47% (34/73)53% (48/90)
Total Points Won
47% (76/163)53% (87/163)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Return games won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Total games won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Mai Hontama
37.5%
Darja Semenistaja
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 69.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Semenistaja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mai Hontama - Darja Semenistaja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.75)

    1.51
    (1.4)
    6.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Mai Hontama - Darja Semenistaja?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Games - Hontama (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 12.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 10.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 9.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 8.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mai Hontama will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Hontama (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hontama is ranked WTA: 213. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 99.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Semenistaja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Semenistaja could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Mai Hontama
    Latest results of Darja Semenistaja
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Raina A. (LL)Matsuda M. (Q)0 : 2
    2Sawangkaew M.Morvayova V.2 : 0
    3Bhamidipaty S. R. (WC)Sidorova K. (Q)0 : 2
    4Nugroho P. M.Prozorova T. (9)0 : 2
    5Jeanjean L. (3)Chaudhari V. (WC)2 : 0
    6Fossa Huergo N.Kuramochi M.0 : 2
    7Xu M. (RET.)Park S.0 : 1
    8Rajeshwaran Revathi M. (WC)Tararudee L. (5)0 : 2
    9Iatcenko P. (8)Yamaguchi M.1 : 2
    10Kabbaj Y. (LL)Plipuech P. (Q)2 : 0
    11Tian F.Saigo R.2 : 0
    12Pawlikowska Z. (Q)Vandewinkel H. (4)0 : 2
    13Tagger L. (7)Adkar V. (WC)2 : 0
    14Yamalapalli S.Shimizu E.0 : 2
    15Hontama M.Ibragimova A.2 : 0
    16Cherubini D.Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Matsuda M.Sawangkaew M.0 : 2
    2Sidorova K.Prozorova T. (9)0 : 2
    3Jeanjean L. (3)Kuramochi M.2 : 0
    4Park S.Tararudee L. (5)1 : 2
    5Yamaguchi M.Kabbaj Y.2 : 1
    6Tian F.Vandewinkel H. (4)2 : 1
    7Tagger L. (7)Shimizu E.2 : 0
    8Hontama M.Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sawangkaew M.Prozorova T. (9)2 : 0
    2Jeanjean L. (3)Tararudee L. (5)1 : 2
    3Yamaguchi M.Tian F.1 : 2
    4Tagger L. (7)Semenistaja D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sawangkaew M.Tararudee L. (5)2 : 1
    2Tian F.Tagger L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sawangkaew M.Tagger L. (7)2 : 0