Result
1:2
21/08/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
Bulgaria | HBO Max |
Croatia | HBO Max |
Czech-republic | HBO Max |
Denmark | HBO Max |
Finland | HBO Max |
France | HBO Max |
Hungary | HBO Max |
Moldova | HBO Max |
Montenegro | HBO Max |
Netherlands | HBO Max |
North-macedonia | HBO Max |
Norway | HBO Max |
Poland | HBO Max |
Romania | HBO Max |
Serbia | HBO Max |
Slovenia | HBO Max |
Spain | HBO Max |
Sweden | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
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Aces |
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0 | 7 |
Double Faults |
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6 | 3 |
1st Serve Percentage |
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67% | 57% |
1st Serve Points Won |
---|
60% (30/50) | 62% (26/42) |
2nd Serve Points Won |
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32% (8/25) | 66% (21/32) |
Break Points Saved |
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58% (7/12) | 67% (4/6) |
Average 1st Serve Speed |
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140 km/h | 162 km/h |
Average 2nd Serve Speed |
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119 km/h | 136 km/h |
1st Return Points Won |
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43% (18/42) | 40% (20/50) |
2nd Return Points Won |
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34% (11/32) | 68% (17/25) |
Break Points Converted |
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33% (2/6) | 42% (5/12) |
Winners |
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5 | 33 |
Unforced Errors |
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21 | 30 |
Net Points Won |
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71% (5/7) | 75% (6/8) |
Service Points Won |
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51% (38/75) | 63% (46/73) |
Return Points Won |
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37% (27/73) | 49% (37/75) |
Total Points Won |
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44% (65/148) | 56% (83/148) |
Last 10 Balls |
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4 | 6 |
Match Points Saved |
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4 | 0 |
Service Games Won |
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55% (6/11) | 82% (9/11) |
Return Games Won |
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18% (2/11) | 45% (5/11) |
Total Games Won |
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36% (8/22) | 64% (14/22) |
Chances of winning
Mai Hontama 45.1% | Rebecca Marino 54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.Rebecca Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Marino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Marino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↓ (2.75) |
|
1.72 ↑ (1.4) |
6.4% (7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Hontama will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Marino will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hontama: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hontama (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Marino (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Hontama is ranked WTA: 181. Marino is ranked WTA: 119.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Marino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hontama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Mai Hontama won against Rebecca Marino?
Mai Hontama has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rebecca Marino won against Mai Hontama?
Rebecca Marino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino were as follows:
07.02.2025
Mai Hontama
-
Rebecca Marino
0:2
26.04.2024
Mai Hontama
-
Rebecca Marino
2:1
Latest results of Mai Hontama
Latest results of Rebecca Marino
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Masarova R. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.) | Kudermetova P. | 0 : 0 |
3 | Jacquemot E. | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Marino R. (Q) | Fernandez L. (31) | 0 : 2 |
5 | Mertens E. (19) | Ahn A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
6 | Sun L. | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
7 | Bucsa C. | Liu C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
8 | Eala A. | Tauson C. (14) | 2 : 1 |
9 | Rybakina E. (9) | Pareja J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
10 | Bronzetti L. | Valentova T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
11 | Raducanu E. | Shibahara E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
12 | Tjen J. (Q) | Kudermetova V. (24) | 2 : 1 |
13 | Kessler M. (32) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
14 | Selekhmeteva O. (Q) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
15 | Sasnovich A. | Jovic I. | 0 : 2 |
16 | Aiava D. (Q) | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
17 | Pegula J. (4) | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
18 | Starodubtseva Y. | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
19 | Azarenka V. | Inoue H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
20 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Yastremska D. (30) | 2 : 1 |
21 | Samsonova L. (17) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
22 | Jeanjean L. | Hon P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
23 | Li A. | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
24 | Zhang S. (Q) | Bencic B. (16) | 0 : 2 |
25 | Navarro E. (10) | Wang Y. | 2 : 0 |
26 | Teichmann J. | McNally C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
27 | Uchijima M. | Danilovic O. | 2 : 1 |
28 | Krejcikova B. | Mboko V. (22) | 2 : 0 |
29 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Wang Xiy. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
30 | Townsend T. | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
31 | Potapova A. | Zhu L. | 2 : 1 |
32 | Parks A. | Andreeva M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
33 | Keys M. (6) | Zarazua R. | 1 : 2 |
34 | Kvitova P. | Parry D. | 0 : 2 |
35 | Volynets K. (Q) | Sonmez Z. | 0 : 2 |
36 | Boulter K. | Kostyuk M. (27) | 0 : 2 |
37 | Noskova L. (21) | Galfi D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
38 | Jones F. (Q) | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
39 | Cirstea S. | Sierra S. | 2 : 0 |
40 | Williams V. (WC) | Muchova K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
41 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
42 | Rakhimova K. | Garcia C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
43 | Baptiste H. | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
44 | Minnen G. | Osaka N. (23) | 0 : 2 |
45 | Frech M. (28) | Gibson T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
46 | Semenistaja D. (Q) | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
47 | Vekic D. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 1 |
48 | Tomljanovic A. | Gauff C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
49 | Anisimova A. (8) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
50 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
51 | Collins D. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
52 | Krueger A. | Kenin S. (26) | 2 : 1 |
53 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Kartal S. | 2 : 1 |
54 | Boisson L. | Golubic V. | 1 : 2 |
55 | Sakkari M. | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
56 | Bondar A. | Svitolina E. (12) | 2 : 0 |
57 | Alexandrova E. (13) | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
58 | Dolehide C. | Wang Xin. | 1 : 2 |
59 | Zakharova A. | Avanesyan E. | 2 : 0 |
60 | Siegemund L. | Shnaider D. (20) | 2 : 1 |
61 | Kalinskaya A. (29) | Ngounoue C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
62 | Putintseva Y. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
63 | Lamens S. | Glozman V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
64 | Arango E. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Jacquemot E. | Fernandez L. (31) | 1 : 2 |
3 | Mertens E. (19) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Bucsa C. | Eala A. | 2 : 0 |
5 | Rybakina E. (9) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
6 | Raducanu E. | Tjen J. | 2 : 0 |
7 | Kessler M. (32) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
8 | Jovic I. | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
9 | Pegula J. (4) | Blinkova A. | 2 : 0 |
10 | Azarenka V. | Pavlyuchenkova A. | 2 : 0 |
11 | Samsonova L. (17) | Hon P. | 1 : 2 |
12 | Li A. | Bencic B. (16) | 2 : 0 |
13 | Navarro E. (10) | McNally C. | 2 : 0 |
14 | Uchijima M. | Krejcikova B. | 0 : 2 |
15 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Townsend T. | 0 : 2 |
16 | Potapova A. | Andreeva M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
17 | Zarazua R. | Parry D. | 1 : 2 |
18 | Sonmez Z. | Kostyuk M. (27) | 1 : 2 |
19 | Noskova L. (21) | Lys E. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
20 | Cirstea S. | Muchova K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
21 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 1 |
22 | Baptiste H. | Osaka N. (23) | 0 : 2 |
23 | Frech M. (28) | Stearns P. | 2 : 1 |
24 | Vekic D. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
25 | Anisimova A. (8) | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
26 | Cristian J. | Krueger A. | 2 : 1 |
27 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Golubic V. | 2 : 0 |
28 | Sakkari M. | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
29 | Alexandrova E. (13) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
30 | Zakharova A. | Siegemund L. | 0 : 2 |
31 | Kalinskaya A. (29) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
32 | Lamens S. | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Fernandez L. (31) | 2 : 0 |
2 | Mertens E. (19) | Bucsa C. | 1 : 2 |
3 | Rybakina E. (9) | Raducanu E. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Vondrousova M. | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
5 | Pegula J. (4) | Azarenka V. | 2 : 0 |
6 | Hon P. | Li A. | 0 : 2 |
7 | Navarro E. (10) | Krejcikova B. | 1 : 2 |
8 | Townsend T. | Andreeva M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
9 | Parry D. | Kostyuk M. (27) | 1 : 2 |
10 | Noskova L. (21) | Muchova K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
11 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Osaka N. (23) | 1 : 2 |
12 | Frech M. (28) | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
13 | Anisimova A. (8) | Cristian J. | 2 : 1 |
14 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 0 |
15 | Alexandrova E. (13) | Siegemund L. | 2 : 0 |
16 | Kalinskaya A. (29) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Rybakina E. (9) | Vondrousova M. | 1 : 2 |
3 | Pegula J. (4) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Krejcikova B. | Townsend T. | 2 : 1 |
5 | Kostyuk M. (27) | Muchova K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
6 | Osaka N. (23) | Gauff C. (3) | 2 : 0 |
7 | Anisimova A. (8) | Haddad Maia B. (18) | 2 : 0 |
8 | Alexandrova E. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1) | Vondrousova M. | |
2 | Pegula J. (4) | Krejcikova B. | 2 : 0 |
3 | Muchova K. (11) | Osaka N. (23) | 0 : 2 |
4 | Anisimova A. (8) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Pegula J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
2 | Osaka N. (23) | Anisimova A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
Final1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Anisimova A. (8) | 2 : 0 |