Result
5:4
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 43
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 4)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gilbert J. ⚽,
- 10', 2 - 0, Court R. ⚽,
- 12', 3 - 0, Kargbo H. ⚽,
- 26', 3 - 1, Rees J. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 2, Balanta A. ⚽,
- 33', 4 - 2, Foran T. ⚽,
- 42', 4 - 3, Rees J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 4 - 4, Balanta A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 5 - 4, Corne S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Maidstone United 48.4% | Draw 26.6% | Hornchurch 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Maidstone United - Hornchurch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↑ (1.88) |
3.47 ↓ (3.64) |
3.69 (3.69) |
8.4% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 3.
- Maidstone is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hornchurch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Maidstone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Maidstone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Maidstone United won against Hornchurch?
Maidstone United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hornchurch won against Maidstone United?
Hornchurch has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maidstone United - Hornchurch were as follows:
30.12.2025
Hornchurch
-
Maidstone United
1:2
08.03.2025
Hornchurch
-
Maidstone United
0:0
09.11.2024
Maidstone United
-
Hornchurch
1:0
Latest results of Maidstone United
Latest results of Hornchurch
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Hornchurch (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hemel Hempstead (5) | Weston-super-Mare (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Torquay (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Dorking (4) | Maidenhead (7) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hornchurch (2) | Weston-super-Mare (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Torquay (3) | Dorking (4) | 4 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hornchurch (2) | Torquay (3) | |