Mainz II vs Freiberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Mainz II - Freiberg
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Mainz II
33.2%
Draw
24.2%
Freiberg
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 23.8% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 24.2% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Mainz II - Freiberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.74)
    3.78
    (3.84)
    2.14
    (2.14)
    9.5%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 3.
    • Mainz II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Freiberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz II - Freiberg were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Freiberg - Mainz II 0:1
    05.10.2024 Mainz II - Freiberg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Mainz II - Freiberg 0:2
    21.10.2023 Freiberg - Mainz II 1:2
    08.04.2023 Freiberg - Mainz II 4:0
    Latest results of Mainz II
    18.10.2025 Sandhausen - Mainz II 2:2
    11.10.2025 Mainz II - Balingen 2:0
    04.10.2025 Bahlinger - Mainz II 1:1
    30.09.2025 Mainz II - Eintracht Trier 3:2
    26.09.2025 Schott Mainz - Mainz II 1:2
    Latest results of Freiberg
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg1393135:122330
    2Steinbach Haiger1375132:161626
    3Walldorf1373328:19924
    4Mainz II1366124:16824
    5Grossaspach1356236:241221
    6FC 08 Homburg1355328:20820
    7Eintracht Trier1362525:21420
    8FSV Frankfurt1362520:17320
    9Stutt. Kickers1362517:18-120
    10Kassel1354425:20519
    11Offenbach1354424:25-119
    12Freiburg II1344526:34-816
    13Sandhausen1343624:32-815
    14Fulda-Lehnerz1335522:19314
    15Balingen1332814:31-1711
    16Alzenau1322918:34-168
    17Bahlinger1314812:33-217
    18Schott Mainz13121018:37-195

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation