Mainz II vs Freiberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Gitau A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Valpoort M. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Malli Y. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz II
34.6%
Draw
24.3%
Freiberg
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 23.8% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 24.2% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Mainz II - Freiberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.74)
    3.77
    (3.84)
    2.23
    (2.14)
    9.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Mainz II - Freiberg?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 3.
    • Mainz II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Freiberg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz II - Freiberg were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Freiberg - Mainz II 0:1
    05.10.2024 Mainz II - Freiberg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Mainz II - Freiberg 0:2
    21.10.2023 Freiberg - Mainz II 1:2
    08.04.2023 Freiberg - Mainz II 4:0
    Latest results of Mainz II
    18.10.2025 Sandhausen - Mainz II 2:2
    11.10.2025 Mainz II - Balingen 2:0
    04.10.2025 Bahlinger - Mainz II 1:1
    30.09.2025 Mainz II - Eintracht Trier 3:2
    26.09.2025 Schott Mainz - Mainz II 1:2
    Latest results of Freiberg
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grossaspach28177476:383858
    2Freiberg28177460:243658
    3FC 08 Homburg28139660:332748
    4FSV Frankfurt28146854:351948
    5Mainz II28138747:351247
    6Kassel28128850:43744
    7Fulda-Lehnerz28119845:37842
    8Stutt. Kickers281331240:38242
    9Walldorf281261057:56142
    10Sandhausen281261044:49-542
    11Steinbach Haiger28118956:52441
    12Freiburg II281061258:63-536
    13Eintracht Trier281061240:46-636
    14Offenbach28981145:47-235
    15Alzenau28651734:57-2323
    16Balingen28551829:72-4320
    17Schott Mainz28541933:68-3519
    18Bahlinger ✔ 28291726:61-3515

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bahlinger is Relegated to