Freiberg vs Mainz II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Gabriel T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', 0 - 2, Videira J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Grobelnik G. ,

Chances of winning


Freiberg
49.4%
Draw
25.7%
Mainz II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 23.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 22.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.
  • Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Freiberg - Mainz II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.65)
    3.55
    (3.92)
    3.67
    (4.17)
    9.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mainz II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Freiberg is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiberg - Mainz II were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Mainz II - Freiberg 2:1
    05.04.2025 Freiberg - Mainz II 0:1
    05.10.2024 Mainz II - Freiberg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Mainz II - Freiberg 0:2
    21.10.2023 Freiberg - Mainz II 1:2
    Latest results of Freiberg
    Latest results of Mainz II
    21.04.2026 Mainz II - Sandhausen 1:3
    18.04.2026 Balingen - Mainz II 1:1
    11.04.2026 Mainz II - Bahlinger 1:1
    04.04.2026 Eintracht Trier - Mainz II 0:5
    28.03.2026 Mainz II - Schott Mainz 0:3
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grossaspach32208486:394768
    2Freiberg32187764:333161
    3Steinbach Haiger32158974:542053
    4FSV Frankfurt32158961:461553
    5Mainz II321410851:401152
    6Sandhausen321561150:52-251
    7FC 08 Homburg321311863:392450
    8Kassel321391057:50748
    9Stutt. Kickers321531448:44448
    10Fulda-Lehnerz3212101048:42646
    11Freiburg II321361369:70-145
    12Walldorf321281260:63-344
    13Eintracht Trier321271344:50-643
    14Offenbach3210101253:54-140
    15Alzenau ✔ 32752040:66-2626
    16Schott Mainz ✔ 32742138:78-4025
    17Balingen ✔ 32572034:81-4722
    18Bahlinger ✔ 32491930:69-3921

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alzenau is Relegated to
    Schott Mainz is Relegated to
    Balingen is Relegated to
    Bahlinger is Relegated to