Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mewa Arena (Mainz).

Bundesliga - Round 7
Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	3.50
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
4	8
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
73% (291/400)	82% (458/559)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	3.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.52	2.92
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
4	6
Shots inside the Box
6	18
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
28	38
Accurate through passes
2	2
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	20
Passes
73% (291/400)	82% (458/559)
Long passes
25% (15/60)	50% (38/76)
Passes in final third
63% (104/164)	67% (82/122)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	1.68
Throw-ins
22	17
Fouls
20	12
Tackles
44% (4/9)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
48	60
Clearances
37	35
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
3	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
2.92	2.52
Goals prevented
-1.08	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Grimaldo A. (Pen),
24', 0 - 2, Kofane C. M. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
30', Henriksen B. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Lee Jae-Sung ⚽,
37', Kohr D. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 3, Grimaldo A. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', Veratschnig N. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
65', Bell S. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
66', Hofmann J. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
67', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
68', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
71', 2 - 3, Amiri N. (Pen),
78', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
78', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
79', Kofane C. M. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
81', Bade L. 🟨,
81', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Boving W. ↑,
83', Ben Seghir E. 🟨,
86', Hollerbach B. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Terrier M. ⚽,
90', 3 - 4, Sieb A. ⚽, Amiri N. (A),
90+3', Amiri N. 🟨,
90+10', Boving W. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Mainz
21.4%

Draw
26.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.5%

38%

Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (2.87)	5.02 ↑ (3.43)	2.35 ↓ (2.47)	-22.7% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen?

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 3 - 6.5%). Bayer will win (votes: 33 - 71.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 58.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bayer (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bayer (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
Recent performances by Mainz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bayer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Zentner R. (Red Card)
There will not play in Bayer: Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Bayer: Lucas (Muscle Injury) Quansah J. (Muscle Injury) Schick P. (Muscle Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tillman M. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.4:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Bayer Leverkusen?

Mainz has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Mainz?

Bayer Leverkusen has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:

17.05.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2

14.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:0

23.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 2:1

30.09.2023 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 0:3

19.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 2:3

Latest results of Mainz

05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺

02.10.2025 Omonia - Mainz 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

04.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 2:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺

18.09.2025 Copenhagen - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	18	16	2	0	71:14	57	50
2	Dortmund	18	11	6	1	35:17	18	39
3	Hoffenheim	17	10	3	4	35:21	14	33
4	Stuttgart	18	10	3	5	33:26	7	33
5	RB Leipzig	17	10	2	5	33:24	9	32
6	Bayer Leverkusen	17	9	2	6	34:25	9	29
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	38:39	-1	27
8	Freiburg	18	6	6	6	29:31	-2	24
9	Union Berlin	18	6	6	6	24:27	-3	24
10	FC Koln	18	5	5	8	27:30	-3	20
11	B. Monchengladbach	18	5	5	8	23:29	-6	20
12	Wolfsburg	18	5	4	9	27:38	-11	19
13	Werder Bremen	17	4	6	7	21:34	-13	18
14	Hamburger SV	17	4	5	8	17:27	-10	17
15	Augsburg	18	4	4	10	20:35	-15	16
16	Heidenheim	18	3	4	11	17:39	-22	13
17	Mainz	18	2	6	10	18:31	-13	12
18	St. Pauli	17	3	3	11	16:31	-15	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga