Mainz vs Zrinjski Mostar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 11
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 22, Blue Sport 22
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 10
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.05
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (388/490)70% (224/322)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.00
Total shots
152
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3011
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (388/490)70% (224/322)
Long passes
35% (16/46)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
62% (94/152)47% (24/51)
Crosses
22% (6/27)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.11
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1313
Tackles
82% (9/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
732
Interceptions
1219
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.07
Goals prevented
0.000.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Weiper N. ⚽,
  • 38', Savic I. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Bilbija N. 🟨,
  • 63', Bilbija N. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
  • 63', Pranjic J. ↓, Mikic L. ↑,
  • 66', Boving W. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
  • 66', Sano K. ↓, Gleiber D. ↑,
  • 66', Memija K. 🟨,
  • 67', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
  • 75', Surdanovic S. ↓, Cavar M. ↑,
  • 75', Cuze M. ↓, Damascan V. ↑,
  • 76', Kawasaki S. ↓, Mwene P. ↑,
  • 78', Damascan V. 🟨,
  • 87', Memija K. ↓, Majic T. ↑,
  • 90+1', Bobzien B. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,

Chances of winning


Mainz
78.2%		Draw
14.6%		Zrinjski Mostar
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80% 13.6% 6.5%

Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.22 ↑
(1.17)		 6.52 ↓
(6.9)		 13.24 ↓
(14.5)		 5%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 56.1% – 90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Mainz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zrinjski is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Mainz is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive) Weiper N. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Zrinjski: Burey T. (Injury) Kis T. (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mainz
    18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4 ✺
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Omonia - Mainz 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    18.10.2025 Sloga Doboj - Zrinjski Mostar 0:1
    06.10.2025 Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar 1:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Lincoln Red Imps 5:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar 1:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Rudar Prijedor 0:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor43109:2710
    2Strasbourg43107:4310
    3Celje43018:449
    4Shakhtar Donetsk43018:539
    5Mainz43014:229
    6Rakow42207:258
    7AEK Larnaca42205:058
    8Drita42204:228
    9Jagiellonia42204:228
    10AEK Athens42119:457
    11Sparta Prague42115:237
    12Rayo Vallecano42118:627
    13Lausanne42115:327
    14Sigma Olomouc42115:507
    15Univ. Craiova42113:307
    16Lech Poznan42029:636
    17Fiorentina42026:336
    18Crystal Palace42026:426
    19Zrinjski42027:8-16
    20AZ Alkmaar42024:7-36
    21Omonia41214:315
    22KuPS41214:315
    23Noah41214:405
    24Rijeka41212:205
    25Shkendija41122:4-24
    26Lincoln Red Imps41124:10-64
    27Dyn. Kyiv41036:7-13
    28Legia41033:5-23
    29Slovan Bratislava41034:7-33
    30Hamrun41033:6-33
    31Hacken40224:6-22
    32Breidablik40222:7-52
    33Aberdeen40223:10-72
    34Shelbourne40130:4-41
    35Shamrock Rovers40133:9-61
    36SK Rapid40042:12-100

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