Mainz vs Zrinjski Mostar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 22, Blue Sport 22
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.05
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (388/490)70% (224/322)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.00
Total shots
152
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3011
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (388/490)70% (224/322)
Long passes
35% (16/46)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
62% (94/152)47% (24/51)
Crosses
22% (6/27)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.11
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1313
Tackles
82% (9/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
732
Interceptions
1219
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.07
Goals prevented
0.000.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Weiper N. ,
  • 38', Savic I. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Bilbija N. 🟨,
  • 63', Bilbija N. , Burey T. ,
  • 63', Pranjic J. , Mikic L. ,
  • 66', Boving W. , Nebel P. ,
  • 66', Sano K. , Gleiber D. ,
  • 66', Memija K. 🟨,
  • 67', Weiper N. , Sieb A. ,
  • 75', Surdanovic S. , Cavar M. ,
  • 75', Cuze M. , Damascan V. ,
  • 76', Kawasaki S. , Mwene P. ,
  • 78', Damascan V. 🟨,
  • 87', Memija K. , Majic T. ,
  • 90+1', Bobzien B. , Lee Jae-Sung ,

Chances of winning


Mainz
78.2%
Draw
14.6%
Zrinjski Mostar
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80% 13.6% 6.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.17)
    6.52
    (6.9)
    13.24
    (14.5)
    5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 56.1%90.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • EH -2 - Zrinjski (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Zrinjski (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mainz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zrinjski is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Mainz is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive) Weiper N. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Zrinjski: Burey T. (Injury) Kis T. (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mainz
    18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0
    02.10.2025 Omonia - Mainz 0:1
    27.09.2025 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2